Football · Italy Serie A Women · 03/10, 12:30

Prediction: Parma (W) vs Ternana (W)

Team pages: Parma (W) · Ternana (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Parma (W)1.36
Ternana (W)0.92
1X2
46% 29% 25%
Parma (W) Draw Ternana (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Parma (W) 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
LDDDWDLLLD
Ternana (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
WDDDLDLLWL
Head-to-head
Parma (W) 1–2–0 Ternana (W) (3 last)
  • Parma (W)2-0Ternana (W)
  • Ternana (W)0-0Parma (W)
  • Parma (W)0-0Ternana (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Parma (W) 1453 · Ternana (W) 1454
Parma (W)DrawTernana (W)
Our model46%30%24%
Market47%27%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Parma (W)Ternana (W)
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.41 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.30.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)0.8 / 3.21.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 02.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Parma (W) 1–2–0 Ternana (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
Italy Serie A Women
Parma (W)2-0
HT 1-0
Ternana (W)
22/11/25
Italy Serie A Women
Ternana (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Parma (W)
11/05/25
Italy Serie B Women
Parma (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Ternana (W)

Standings · Italy Serie A Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Como 1907 (W) 1100 413
2 Roma (W) 1100 313
2 Juventus (W) 1100 313
4 Inter Milan (W) 1100 203
5 Como (W) 1100 213
6 Lazio (W) 1010 001
6 Parma (W) 1010 001
8 Ternana (W) 1001 120
9 Sassuolo (W) 1001 130
9 Napoli (W) 1001 130
11 Fiorentina (W) 1001 020
12 AC Milan (W) 1001 140

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentParma (W)Ternana (W)
Lazio (W) 0-0 D 0-2 L
Juventus (W) 1-3 L 2-2 D
AC Milan (W) 1-3 L 1-0 W
Como (W) 1-1 D 1-2 L
Fiorentina (W) 0-0 D 2-2 D
Genoa (W) 1-1 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 4 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ternana (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Parma (W)

LDDDWDLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Lazio (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 52 D
17/05 Juventus (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 1-3 63 L
10/05 AC Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 1-3 41 L
03/05 Lazio (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 1-3 42 L
25/04 Como (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 1-1 40 D
04/04 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 2-0 53 W
22/03 Fiorentina (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 12 D
14/03 Genoa (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 1-1 22 D
21/02 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 13 D
15/02 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 2-3 02 L

Ternana (W)

WDDDLDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Como (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 1-2 42 L
17/05 AC Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 1-0 42 W
10/05 Lazio (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 0-2 33 L
02/05 Roma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 0-2 20 L
26/04 Fiorentina (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-1 2-2 14 D
04/04 Parma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 0-2 33 L
22/03 Sassuolo (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 1-1 126 D
15/03 Como (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 24 D
22/02 Juventus (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-2 2-2 44 D
14/02 Genoa (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 3-1 72 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parma (W) vs Ternana (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Parma (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Parma (W) 46%, draw 29%, Ternana (W) 25%.

How many goals are expected in Parma (W) vs Ternana (W)?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Parma (W) 1.36 · Ternana (W) 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Parma (W) vs Ternana (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.