Prediction: Roma (W) vs Lazio (W)
Team pages: Roma (W) · Lazio (W)
- Lazio (W)1-2Roma (W)
- Roma (W)3-0Lazio (W)
- Lazio (W)0-0Roma (W)
- Roma (W)1-0Lazio (W)
- Roma (W)3-0Lazio (W)
- Roma (W)2-1Lazio (W)
| Roma (W) | Draw | Lazio (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roma (W) (rating 1628 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Roma (W): 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Roma (W) | Lazio (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.4 | 3.5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roma (W) 5–1–0 Lazio (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Italy Serie A Women | Lazio (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Roma (W) |
| 28/01/26 Coppa Italia Women | Roma (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Lazio (W) |
| 21/01/26 Coppa Italia Women | Lazio (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Roma (W) |
| 16/11/25 Italy Serie A Women | Roma (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lazio (W) |
| 23/09/25 Italy Serie A Cup Women | Roma (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Lazio (W) |
| 17/11/24 Italy Serie A Women | Roma (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Lazio (W) |
Standings · Italy Serie A Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como 1907 (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Roma (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Juventus (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter Milan (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Como (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lazio (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Parma (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Ternana (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Sassuolo (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Napoli (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Fiorentina (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | AC Milan (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Roma (W) | Lazio (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo (W) | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Ternana (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Juventus (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Fiorentina (W) | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Inter Milan (W) | 1-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Napoli (W) | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Roma (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roma (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/04 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-3 | 4-3 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 22/02 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 15/02 | Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
Lazio (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 21/02 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/02 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roma (W) vs Lazio (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Roma (W) win (66%). Probabilities: Roma (W) 66%, draw 21%, Lazio (W) 13%.
How many goals are expected in Roma (W) vs Lazio (W)?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Roma (W) 2.02 · Lazio (W) 0.79), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Roma (W) vs Lazio (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.