Football · Italy Serie A Women · 04/10, 18:00

Prediction: Como (W) vs Inter Milan (W)

Team pages: Como (W) · Inter Milan (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Como (W)0.98
Inter Milan (W)1.57
1X2
23% 26% 51%
Como (W) Draw Inter Milan (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Como (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDLDLDWW
Inter Milan (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWWDLW
Head-to-head
Como (W) 3–3 Inter Milan (W) (6 last)
  • Inter Milan (W)0-3Como (W)
  • Como (W)2-3Inter Milan (W)
  • Inter Milan (W)0-1Como (W)
  • Inter Milan (W)1-0Como (W)
  • Como (W)0-1Inter Milan (W)
  • Inter Milan (W)2-3Como (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Como (W) 1502 · Inter Milan (W) 1607
Como (W)DrawInter Milan (W)
Our model22%28%50%
Market23%26%51%
Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Milan (W) (rating 1502 vs 1607).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Como (W)Inter Milan (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.72.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/60/0%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.42.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.4 / 0.12 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Como (W) 3–0–3 Inter Milan (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Italy Serie A Women
Inter Milan (W)0-3
HT 0-2
Como (W)
25/01/26
Italy Serie A Women
Como (W)2-3
HT 1-0
Inter Milan (W)
14/09/25
Italy Serie A Cup Women
Inter Milan (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Como (W)
19/01/25
Italy Serie A Women
Inter Milan (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Como (W)
12/10/24
Italy Serie A Women
Como (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Inter Milan (W)
03/02/24
Italy Serie A Women
Inter Milan (W)2-3
HT 1-1
Como (W)

Standings · Italy Serie A Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Como 1907 (W) 1100 413
2 Roma (W) 1100 313
2 Juventus (W) 1100 313
4 Inter Milan (W) 1100 203
5 Como (W) 1100 213
6 Lazio (W) 1010 001
6 Parma (W) 1010 001
8 Ternana (W) 1001 120
9 Sassuolo (W) 1001 130
9 Napoli (W) 1001 130
11 Fiorentina (W) 1001 020
12 AC Milan (W) 1001 140

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentComo (W)Inter Milan (W)
Napoli (W) 0-0 D 2-2 D
Fiorentina (W) 0-1 L 2-0 W
Parma (W) 1-1 D 3-2 W
Roma (W) 3-4 L 0-1 L
AC Milan (W) 0-0 D 1-0 W
Genoa (W) 1-0 W 2-1 W
Sassuolo (W) 2-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 2 L 5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Inter Milan (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Como (W)

WWDDLDLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 2-1 52 W
16/05 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-0 3-0 11 W
09/05 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 51 D
03/05 Fiorentina (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 23 L
25/04 Parma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 1-1 30 D
03/04 Roma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
3-2 3-4 31 L
22/03 AC Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 32 D
15/03 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 54 D
21/02 Genoa (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 1-0 60 W
14/02 Sassuolo (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 2-0 11 W

Inter Milan (W)

WLWDWWWDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Fiorentina (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 2-0 74 W
16/05 Como (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-2 0-3 81 L
10/05 Juventus (W)
Italy Serie A Women
3-3 3-3 43 D
02/05 AC Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 1-0 51 W
25/04 Genoa (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 2-1 92 W
04/04 Lazio (W)
Italy Serie A Women
3-0 5-2 01 W
21/03 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 2-2 41 D
16/03 Sassuolo (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 3-0 63 W
22/02 Roma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 0-1 34 L
15/02 Parma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 3-2 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Como (W) vs Inter Milan (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Inter Milan (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Como (W) 23%, draw 26%, Inter Milan (W) 51%.

How many goals are expected in Como (W) vs Inter Milan (W)?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Como (W) 0.98 · Inter Milan (W) 1.57), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Como (W) vs Inter Milan (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.