Football · Italy Serie A Women · 04/10, 15:00

Prediction: AC Milan (W) vs Juventus (W)

Team pages: AC Milan (W) · Juventus (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
AC Milan (W)0.8
Juventus (W)1.57
1X2
19% 26% 56%
AC Milan (W) Draw Juventus (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AC Milan (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDWDWDLWLL
Juventus (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDLDWLWDWW
Head-to-head
AC Milan (W) 2–1–3 Juventus (W) (6 last)
  • Juventus (W)1-0AC Milan (W)
  • Juventus (W)0-1AC Milan (W)
  • AC Milan (W)2-1Juventus (W)
  • Juventus (W)2-0AC Milan (W)
  • AC Milan (W)2-2Juventus (W)
  • AC Milan (W)0-6Juventus (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Milan (W) 1513 · Juventus (W) 1588
AC Milan (W)DrawJuventus (W)
Our model18%28%54%
Market20%24%56%
Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventus (W) (rating 1513 vs 1588).
  • H2H favours Juventus (W): 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AC Milan (W)Juventus (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 11.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.61 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.52.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.7 / 0.22.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Milan (W) 2–1–3 Juventus (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
06/09/26
Italy Serie A Cup Women
Juventus (W)1-0
HT 0-0
AC Milan (W)
15/03/26
Italy Serie A Women
Juventus (W)0-1
HT 0-0
AC Milan (W)
08/11/25
Italy Serie A Women
AC Milan (W)2-1
HT 1-1
Juventus (W)
18/04/25
Italy Serie A Women
Juventus (W)2-0
HT 1-0
AC Milan (W)
09/03/25
Italy Serie A Women
AC Milan (W)2-2
HT 1-0
Juventus (W)
09/02/25
Italy Serie A Women
AC Milan (W)0-6
HT 0-4
Juventus (W)

Standings · Italy Serie A Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Como 1907 (W) 1100 413
2 Roma (W) 1100 313
2 Juventus (W) 1100 313
4 Inter Milan (W) 1100 203
5 Como (W) 1100 213
6 Lazio (W) 1010 001
6 Parma (W) 1010 001
8 Ternana (W) 1001 120
9 Sassuolo (W) 1001 130
9 Napoli (W) 1001 130
11 Fiorentina (W) 1001 020
12 AC Milan (W) 1001 140

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAC Milan (W)Juventus (W)
Ternana (W) 0-1 L 2-2 D
Parma (W) 3-1 W 3-1 W
Inter Milan (W) 0-1 L 3-3 D
Napoli (W) 0-0 D 3-1 W
Lazio (W) 2-2 D 0-0 D
Fiorentina (W) 0-1 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Juventus (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Milan (W)

LDWDWDLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Como 1907 (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-2 1-4 102 L
17/05 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 22 L
10/05 Parma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 3-1 91 W
02/05 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 0-1 51 L
25/04 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 62 D
03/04 Sassuolo (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 3-0 70 W
22/03 Como (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 42 D
15/03 Juventus (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 1-0 41 W
21/02 Lazio (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 2-2 32 D
14/02 Fiorentina (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 0-1 56 L

Juventus (W)

DDLDWLWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 3-1 50 W
17/05 Parma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 3-1 43 W
10/05 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
3-3 3-3 23 D
02/05 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-2 3-2 41 W
25/04 Roma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 74 L
04/04 Fiorentina (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 2-1 32 W
21/03 Genoa (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 44 D
15/03 AC Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 51 L
22/02 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
2-1 2-2 54 D
15/02 Lazio (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 112 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Milan (W) vs Juventus (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventus (W) win (56%). Probabilities: AC Milan (W) 19%, draw 26%, Juventus (W) 56%.

How many goals are expected in AC Milan (W) vs Juventus (W)?

The model expects 2.36 goals (AC Milan (W) 0.8 · Juventus (W) 1.57), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Milan (W) vs Juventus (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.