Prediction: Fiorentina (W) vs Sassuolo (W)
Team pages: Fiorentina (W) · Sassuolo (W)
- Fiorentina (W)1-2Sassuolo (W)
- Fiorentina (W)3-2Sassuolo (W)
- Sassuolo (W)0-1Fiorentina (W)
- Fiorentina (W)1-1Sassuolo (W)
- Sassuolo (W)1-3Fiorentina (W)
- Fiorentina (W)4-4Sassuolo (W)
| Fiorentina (W) | Draw | Sassuolo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fiorentina (W) (rating 1520 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Fiorentina (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fiorentina (W) | Sassuolo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fiorentina (W) 3–2–1 Sassuolo (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Italy Serie A Cup Women | Fiorentina (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Sassuolo (W) |
| 22/02/26 Italy Serie A Women | Fiorentina (W) | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Sassuolo (W) |
| 02/11/25 Italy Serie A Women | Sassuolo (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Fiorentina (W) |
| 19/01/25 Italy Serie A Women | Fiorentina (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sassuolo (W) |
| 12/10/24 Italy Serie A Women | Sassuolo (W) | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Fiorentina (W) |
| 27/04/24 Italy Serie A Women | Fiorentina (W) | 4-4 HT 4-1 | Sassuolo (W) |
Standings · Italy Serie A Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como 1907 (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Roma (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Juventus (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter Milan (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Como (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lazio (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Parma (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Ternana (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Sassuolo (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Napoli (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Fiorentina (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | AC Milan (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fiorentina (W) | Sassuolo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Lazio (W) | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Genoa (W) | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Como (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Ternana (W) | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Roma (W) | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| AC Milan (W) | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Fiorentina (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fiorentina (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 15/03 | Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 22/02 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/02 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Sassuolo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 22/03 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 16/03 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/02 | Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/02 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fiorentina (W) vs Sassuolo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fiorentina (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Fiorentina (W) 61%, draw 23%, Sassuolo (W) 16%.
How many goals are expected in Fiorentina (W) vs Sassuolo (W)?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Fiorentina (W) 1.93 · Sassuolo (W) 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina (W) vs Sassuolo (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.