Football · Italy Serie A Women · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Lazio (W) vs Parma (W)

Team pages: Parma (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Lazio (W)1.62
Parma (W)0.92
1X2
53% 26% 21%
Lazio (W) Draw Parma (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Lazio (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDDWLLLWWL
Parma (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LLDDDWDLLL
Head-to-head
Lazio (W) 4–2–0 Parma (W) (6 last)
  • Lazio (W)2-0Parma (W)
  • Parma (W)1-3Lazio (W)
  • Parma (W)0-0Lazio (W)
  • Lazio (W)1-0Parma (W)
  • Lazio (W)3-1Parma (W)
  • Lazio (W)1-1Parma (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lazio (W) 1516 · Parma (W) 1436
Lazio (W)DrawParma (W)
Our model53%27%20%
Market53%25%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lazio (W) (rating 1516 vs 1436).
  • H2H favours Lazio (W): 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lazio (W)Parma (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.70.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.90.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.30.8 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 0.12.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lazio (W) 4–2–0 Parma (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/08/26
Italy Serie A Cup Women
Lazio (W)2-0
HT 2-0
Parma (W)
03/05/26
Italy Serie A Women
Parma (W)1-3
HT 1-1
Lazio (W)
21/12/25
Coppa Italia Women
Parma (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Lazio (W)
14/12/25
Italy Serie A Women
Lazio (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Parma (W)
13/09/25
Coppa Italia Women
Lazio (W)3-1
HT 3-0
Parma (W)
19/05/24
Italy Serie B Women
Lazio (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Parma (W)

Standings · Italy Serie A Women

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 AC Milan (W) 000 000
1 Fiorentina (W) 000 000
1 Roma (W) 000 000
1 Como 1907 (W) 000 000
1 Inter Milan (W) 000 000
1 Juventus (W) 000 000
1 Lazio (W) 000 000
1 Parma (W) 000 000
1 Sassuolo (W) 000 000
1 Como (W) 000 000
1 Napoli (W) 000 000
1 Ternana (W) 000 000

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLazio (W)Parma (W)
Fiorentina (W) 1-2 L 0-0 D
Ternana (W) 2-0 W 2-0 W
Sassuolo (W) 0-3 L 0-1 L
Inter Milan (W) 2-5 L 2-3 L
Napoli (W) 1-0 W 0-0 D
AC Milan (W) 2-2 D 1-3 L
Juventus (W) 0-0 D 1-3 L
Genoa (W) 5-2 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Lazio (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lazio (W)

WDDWLLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Fiorentina (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 1-2 73 L
10/05 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 2-0 73 W
03/05 Parma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 3-1 42 W
25/04 Sassuolo (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-2 0-3 103 L
04/04 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-3 2-5 71 L
21/03 Roma (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 1-2 41 L
14/03 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 1-0 51 W
21/02 AC Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 2-2 32 D
15/02 Juventus (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 12 D
07/02 Genoa (W)
Italy Serie A Women
3-2 5-2 52 W

Parma (W)

LLDDDWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/05 Juventus (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-1 1-3 63 L
10/05 AC Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 1-3 41 L
03/05 Lazio (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-1 1-3 42 L
25/04 Como (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 1-1 40 D
04/04 Ternana (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 2-0 53 W
22/03 Fiorentina (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 12 D
14/03 Genoa (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 1-1 22 D
21/02 Napoli (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-0 13 D
15/02 Inter Milan (W)
Italy Serie A Women
1-0 2-3 02 L
07/02 Sassuolo (W)
Italy Serie A Women
0-0 0-1 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lazio (W) vs Parma (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lazio (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Lazio (W) 53%, draw 26%, Parma (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Lazio (W) vs Parma (W)?

The model expects 2.54 goals (Lazio (W) 1.62 · Parma (W) 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lazio (W) vs Parma (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.