Prediction: Lazio (W) vs Parma (W)
Team pages: Parma (W)
- Lazio (W)2-0Parma (W)
- Parma (W)1-3Lazio (W)
- Parma (W)0-0Lazio (W)
- Lazio (W)1-0Parma (W)
- Lazio (W)3-1Parma (W)
- Lazio (W)1-1Parma (W)
| Lazio (W) | Draw | Parma (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 27% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 25% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lazio (W) (rating 1516 vs 1436).
- H2H favours Lazio (W): 4-2-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lazio (W) | Parma (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.3 | 0.8 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lazio (W) 4–2–0 Parma (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Italy Serie A Cup Women | Lazio (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Parma (W) |
| 03/05/26 Italy Serie A Women | Parma (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Lazio (W) |
| 21/12/25 Coppa Italia Women | Parma (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lazio (W) |
| 14/12/25 Italy Serie A Women | Lazio (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Parma (W) |
| 13/09/25 Coppa Italia Women | Lazio (W) | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Parma (W) |
| 19/05/24 Italy Serie B Women | Lazio (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Parma (W) |
Standings · Italy Serie A Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Milan (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fiorentina (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roma (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Como 1907 (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Inter Milan (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Juventus (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lazio (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Parma (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sassuolo (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Como (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Napoli (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ternana (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lazio (W) | Parma (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina (W) | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Ternana (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Sassuolo (W) | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Inter Milan (W) | 2-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Napoli (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| AC Milan (W) | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Juventus (W) | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Genoa (W) | 5-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Lazio (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lazio (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 21/02 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/02 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 07/02 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
3-2 | 5-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
Parma (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Como (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 04/04 | Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 14/03 | Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/02 | Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 15/02 | Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women |
1-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 07/02 | Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lazio (W) vs Parma (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lazio (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Lazio (W) 53%, draw 26%, Parma (W) 21%.
How many goals are expected in Lazio (W) vs Parma (W)?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Lazio (W) 1.62 · Parma (W) 0.92), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lazio (W) vs Parma (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

