Football · Italy Serie A Women · 27/09, 12:30

Prediction: Ternana (W) vs Como (W)

Team pages: Ternana (W) · Como (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Ternana (W)1.17

Como (W)1.35

1X2

32% 28% 40%

Ternana (W) Draw Como (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Ternana (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Como (W) 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Ternana (W) 1–1–1 Como (W) (3 last)

Como (W)0-0Ternana (W)
Ternana (W)2-1Como (W)
Ternana (W)2-4Como (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ternana (W) 1458 · Como (W) 1492

	Ternana (W)	Draw	Como (W)
Our model	31%	29%	40%
Market	32%	27%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ternana (W)	Como (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	1.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	1.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.30

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +32’	2.80	3.30	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ternana (W) 1–1–1 Como (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Italy Serie A Women	Como (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Ternana (W)
20/12/25 Coppa Italia Women	Ternana (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Como (W)
09/11/25 Italy Serie A Women	Ternana (W)	2-4 HT 0-3	Como (W)

Standings · Italy Serie A Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AC Milan (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fiorentina (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Roma (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Como 1907 (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Inter Milan (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Juventus (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lazio (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Parma (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sassuolo (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Como (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Napoli (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ternana (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ternana (W)	Como (W)
AC Milan (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Roma (W)	0-2 L	3-4 L
Fiorentina (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Parma (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Sassuolo (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Juventus (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
Genoa (W)	3-1 W	1-0 W
Napoli (W)	1-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ternana (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/05	AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
10/05	Lazio (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
02/05	Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
26/04	Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women	2-1	2-2	1	4	D
04/04	Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
22/03	Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women	1-1	1-1	12	6	D
15/03	Como (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
22/02	Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women	1-2	2-2	4	4	D
14/02	Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
08/02	Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-1	1-3	5	3	L

Como (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Inter Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women	2-0	3-0	1	1	W
09/05	Napoli (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
03/05	Fiorentina (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
25/04	Parma (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
03/04	Roma (W) Italy Serie A Women	3-2	3-4	3	1	L
22/03	AC Milan (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
15/03	Ternana (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
21/02	Genoa (W) Italy Serie A Women	1-0	1-0	6	0	W
14/02	Sassuolo (W) Italy Serie A Women	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
07/02	Juventus (W) Italy Serie A Women	0-1	0-2	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ternana (W) vs Como (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Como (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Ternana (W) 32%, draw 28%, Como (W) 40%.

How many goals are expected in Ternana (W) vs Como (W)?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Ternana (W) 1.17 · Como (W) 1.35), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ternana (W) vs Como (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.