Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 23/07, 21:15

Prediction: KA Asvellir vs Augnablik Kopavogur

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.14Total
KA Asvellir1.92
Augnablik Kopavogur2.22
1X2
34% 21% 45%
KA Asvellir Draw Augnablik Kopavogur
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
KA Asvellir 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWDLLL
Augnablik Kopavogur 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWLLLWDW
Head-to-head
KA Asvellir 1–1–0 Augnablik Kopavogur (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KA Asvellir 1437 · Augnablik Kopavogur 1488
KA AsvellirDrawAugnablik Kopavogur
Our model34%21%45%
Market34%20%46%
Estimated total (ours) 4.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Augnablik Kopavogur (rating 1437 vs 1488).
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KA AsvellirAugnablik Kopavogur
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 3.22.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.40.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 52.6 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.24.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · KA Asvellir 110 Augnablik Kopavogur

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/05/26
Iceland 3 Deild
Augnablik Kopavogur2-4
HT 1-0
KA Asvellir
11/04/26
Iceland League Cup B
Augnablik Kopavogur0-0
HT 0-0
KA Asvellir

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tindastoll 13913 342028
2 Vidir Gardur 13832 291527
3 Reynir Sandgerdi 13823 382526
4 KH Hlidarendi 13742 371925
5 KV Vesturbaer 13805 363524
6 KF Fjallabyggd 13553 181520
7 Augnablik Kopavogur 13535 272618
8 Hottur/Huginn 13364 151815
9 Ymir Kopavogur 13337 212812
10 KA Asvellir 13319 224010
11 Sindri 13229 18368
12 FC Arbaer 131210 16345

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKA AsvellirAugnablik Kopavogur
Tindastoll 3-7 L 1-2 L
KV Vesturbaer 1-3 L 5-3 W
Reynir Sandgerdi 2-7 L 3-6 L
Hottur/Huginn 1-1 D 3-0 W
FC Arbaer 2-1 W 3-3 D
KF Fjallabyggd 1-2 L 1-3 L
Ymir Kopavogur 0-2 L 3-1 W
Vidir Gardur 1-4 L 0-0 D
Sindri 3-1 W 1-0 W
KH Hlidarendi 1-4 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 7 L 4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Augnablik Kopavogur (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KA Asvellir

LWLLLWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Tindastoll
Iceland 3 Deild
0-3 3-7 66 L
10/07 KV Vesturbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
1-1 1-3 33 L
03/07 Reynir Sandgerdi
Iceland 3 Deild
0-4 2-7 L
27/06 Hottur/Huginn
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 1-1 D
19/06 FC Arbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 2-1 44 W
14/06 KF Fjallabyggd
Iceland 3 Deild
0-2 1-2 L
11/06 Ymir Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-1 0-2 46 L
06/06 Vidir Gardur
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 1-4 85 L
30/05 Sindri
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 3-1 W
22/05 KH Hlidarendi
Iceland 3 Deild
0-3 1-4 L

Augnablik Kopavogur

DWLWLLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Ymir Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 3-1 W
13/07 Vidir Gardur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 0-0 35 D
04/07 Sindri
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 1-0 W
26/06 KH Hlidarendi
Iceland 3 Deild
1-1 1-3 74 L
20/06 KF Fjallabyggd
Iceland 3 Deild
1-1 1-3 134 L
14/06 Tindastoll
Iceland 3 Deild
0-1 1-2 52 L
10/06 KV Vesturbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
2-1 5-3 310 W
05/06 Reynir Sandgerdi
Iceland 3 Deild
0-2 3-6 52 L
31/05 Hottur/Huginn
Iceland 3 Deild
2-0 3-0 64 W
23/05 FC Arbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
1-2 3-3 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KA Asvellir vs Augnablik Kopavogur?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Augnablik Kopavogur win (45%). Probabilities: KA Asvellir 34%, draw 21%, Augnablik Kopavogur 45%.

How many goals are expected in KA Asvellir vs Augnablik Kopavogur?

The model expects 4.14 goals (KA Asvellir 1.92 · Augnablik Kopavogur 2.22), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KA Asvellir vs Augnablik Kopavogur?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.