Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 28/07, 20:00

Prediction: Tindastoll vs Hottur/Huginn

Team pages: Tindastoll · Hottur/Huginn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Tindastoll2

Hottur/Huginn1.27

1X2

54% 23% 23%

Tindastoll Draw Hottur/Huginn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Tindastoll 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWLWWW

Hottur/Huginn 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDLWDWDLD

Head-to-head

Tindastoll 0–3–2 Hottur/Huginn (5 last)

Hottur/Huginn0-0Tindastoll
Hottur/Huginn2-0Tindastoll
Tindastoll2-3Hottur/Huginn
Hottur/Huginn1-1Tindastoll
Tindastoll2-2Hottur/Huginn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tindastoll 1551 · Hottur/Huginn 1495

	Tindastoll	Draw	Hottur/Huginn
Our model	53%	24%	23%
Market	54%	22%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tindastoll (rating 1551 vs 1495).
H2H favours Hottur/Huginn: 2-3-0.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tindastoll	Hottur/Huginn
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.7	1.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.3	2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X4.00

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 02:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.67▲	Bet365 1.67
X	4.20 → 4.00▼	Pinn 4.25
2	4.50 → 3.80▼	Pinn 4.49 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:54 +10’	1.53	4.20	4.50
23:59 +3’	1.80▲	3.90▼	3.40▼
01:01 +1’	1.53▼	4.20▲	4.50▲
01:57 +7’	1.67▲	4.00▼	3.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:50	1.54	4.28	4.46
00:02	1.64▲	3.63▼	3.55▼
07:01	1.76▲	3.47▼	3.23▼
08:01	1.75▼	3.48▲	3.25▲
09:01 +1’	1.59▼	4.13▲	4.22▲
12:02 +1’	1.55▼	4.24▲	4.47▲
14:01 +1’	1.54▼	4.25▲	4.49▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tindastoll 0–3–2 Hottur/Huginn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Hottur/Huginn	0-0 HT 0-0	Tindastoll
17/07/21 Iceland 3 Deild	Hottur/Huginn	2-0 HT 1-0	Tindastoll
13/05/21 Iceland 3 Deild	Tindastoll	2-3	Hottur/Huginn
16/08/20 Iceland 3 Deild	Hottur/Huginn	1-1	Tindastoll
20/06/20 Iceland 3 Deild	Tindastoll	2-2	Hottur/Huginn

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tindastoll	14	10	1	3	38	20	31
2	Reynir Sandgerdi	14	9	2	3	41	25	29
3	Vidir Gardur	14	8	3	3	29	16	27
4	KH Hlidarendi	14	7	4	3	37	20	25
5	KV Vesturbaer	14	8	1	5	37	36	25
6	KF Fjallabyggd	14	5	5	4	18	18	20
7	Augnablik Kopavogur	14	5	3	6	29	29	18
8	Hottur/Huginn	14	3	7	4	16	19	16
9	Ymir Kopavogur	14	4	3	7	22	28	15
10	KA Asvellir	14	4	1	9	25	42	13
11	Sindri	14	3	2	9	19	36	11
12	FC Arbaer	14	1	2	11	16	38	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tindastoll	Hottur/Huginn
FC Arbaer	4-0 W	2-0 W
KA Asvellir	7-3 W	1-1 D
Ymir Kopavogur	2-1 W	3-2 W
Vidir Gardur	0-3 L	1-2 L
Sindri	4-2 W	2-2 D
KH Hlidarendi	1-2 L	1-1 D
Augnablik Kopavogur	2-1 W	0-3 L
KF Fjallabyggd	1-3 L	0-0 D
KV Vesturbaer	4-1 W	1-1 D
Reynir Sandgerdi	2-1 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 5 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tindastoll (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tindastoll

WWLWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
17/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	7-3	6	6	W
12/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	2-1	7	6	W
04/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-3	3	7	L
25/06	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-2	9	2	W
19/06	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-2	7	6	L
14/06	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
10/06	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
06/06	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-1	7	3	W
31/05	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

Hottur/Huginn

LDDLWDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
12/07	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
27/06	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/06	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
14/06	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/06	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
06/06	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
31/05	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	0-3	11	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tindastoll vs Hottur/Huginn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tindastoll win (54%). Probabilities: Tindastoll 54%, draw 23%, Hottur/Huginn 23%.

How many goals are expected in Tindastoll vs Hottur/Huginn?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Tindastoll 2 · Hottur/Huginn 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tindastoll vs Hottur/Huginn?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.