Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: Vidir Gardur vs Sindri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Vidir Gardur2.67

Sindri1.14

1X2

70% 17% 14%

Vidir Gardur Draw Sindri

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vidir Gardur 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLWDD

Sindri 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Vidir Gardur 2–2–2 Sindri (6 last)

Sindri1-0Vidir Gardur
Sindri0-2Vidir Gardur
Vidir Gardur1-1Sindri

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vidir Gardur 1563 · Sindri 1419

	Vidir Gardur	Draw	Sindri
Our model	69%	18%	13%
Market	70%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vidir Gardur (rating 1563 vs 1419).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vidir Gardur	Sindri
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1	1.5 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.6 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.3	1.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.88

2 (+1.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 41.95

Under 41.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:09 +4’	1.28	5.50	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vidir Gardur 2–2–2 Sindri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Sindri	1-0 HT 1-0	Vidir Gardur
31/08/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Sindri	0-2 HT 0-0	Vidir Gardur
27/06/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Vidir Gardur	1-1 HT 0-1	Sindri
06/04/24 Iceland Cup	Vidir Gardur	1-1 HT 0-0	Sindri
19/03/23 Iceland League Cup B	Vidir Gardur	0-2 HT 0-1	Sindri
16/07/22 Iceland 3 Deild	Sindri	0-1	Vidir Gardur

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tindastoll	13	9	1	3	34	20	28
2	Vidir Gardur	13	8	3	2	29	15	27
3	Reynir Sandgerdi	13	8	2	3	38	25	26
4	KH Hlidarendi	13	7	4	2	37	19	25
5	KV Vesturbaer	13	8	0	5	36	35	24
6	KF Fjallabyggd	13	5	5	3	18	15	20
7	Augnablik Kopavogur	14	5	3	6	29	29	18
8	Hottur/Huginn	13	3	6	4	15	18	15
9	KA Asvellir	14	4	1	9	25	42	13
10	Ymir Kopavogur	13	3	3	7	21	28	12
11	Sindri	13	2	2	9	18	36	8
12	FC Arbaer	13	1	2	10	16	34	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vidir Gardur	Sindri
KH Hlidarendi	1-1 D	3-5 L
Augnablik Kopavogur	0-0 D	0-1 L
Tindastoll	3-0 W	2-4 L
KV Vesturbaer	3-5 L	2-3 L
Reynir Sandgerdi	5-0 W	1-4 L
Hottur/Huginn	2-1 W	2-2 D
FC Arbaer	1-0 W	4-1 W
KA Asvellir	4-1 W	1-3 L
Ymir Kopavogur	3-1 W	0-4 L
KF Fjallabyggd	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Vidir Gardur (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vidir Gardur

WWWWWWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
13/07	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
04/07	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	3-0	3	7	W
26/06	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-3	3-5	–	–	L
19/06	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	5-0	4	2	W
14/06	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/06	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
06/06	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	4-1	13	5	W
01/06	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	3-1	3	4	W
24/05	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-1	5	6	W

Sindri

LLWDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
12/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	2-3	3-5	–	–	L
04/07	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/06	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-4	3	2	L
20/06	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	2-3	3	2	L
14/06	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	1-4	–	–	L
10/06	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/06	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	4-1	10	1	W
30/05	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
23/05	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	0-4	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vidir Gardur vs Sindri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vidir Gardur win (70%). Probabilities: Vidir Gardur 70%, draw 17%, Sindri 14%.

How many goals are expected in Vidir Gardur vs Sindri?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Vidir Gardur 2.67 · Sindri 1.14), with a 55% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Vidir Gardur vs Sindri?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.