Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 29/07, 20:00

Prediction: Vidir Gardur vs KF Fjallabyggd

Team pages: Vidir Gardur · KF Fjallabyggd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Vidir Gardur1.92

KF Fjallabyggd1.07

1X2

57% 22% 21%

Vidir Gardur Draw KF Fjallabyggd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vidir Gardur 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWDDL

KF Fjallabyggd 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWWDWDWL

Head-to-head

Vidir Gardur 3–0 KF Fjallabyggd (3 last)

KF Fjallabyggd1-2Vidir Gardur
Vidir Gardur2-0KF Fjallabyggd
KF Fjallabyggd0-1Vidir Gardur

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vidir Gardur 1546 · KF Fjallabyggd 1523

	Vidir Gardur	Draw	KF Fjallabyggd
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	58%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vidir Gardur: 3-0-0.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vidir Gardur	KF Fjallabyggd
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.4	4 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.55

X4.33

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.55▼	Bet365 1.55
X	4.50 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33
2	3.90 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:04 +1’	1.57	4.50	3.90
12:54 +10’	1.55▼	4.33▼	4.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vidir Gardur 3–0–0 KF Fjallabyggd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Iceland 3 Deild	KF Fjallabyggd	1-2 HT 0-1	Vidir Gardur
18/08/20 Iceland 2 Deild	Vidir Gardur	2-0 HT 1-0	KF Fjallabyggd
27/06/20 Iceland 2 Deild	KF Fjallabyggd	0-1 HT 0-1	Vidir Gardur

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tindastoll	14	10	1	3	38	20	31
2	Reynir Sandgerdi	14	9	2	3	41	25	29
3	Vidir Gardur	14	8	3	3	29	16	27
4	KH Hlidarendi	14	7	4	3	37	20	25
5	KV Vesturbaer	14	8	1	5	37	36	25
6	KF Fjallabyggd	14	5	5	4	18	18	20
7	Augnablik Kopavogur	14	5	3	6	29	29	18
8	Hottur/Huginn	14	3	7	4	16	19	16
9	Ymir Kopavogur	14	4	3	7	22	28	15
10	KA Asvellir	14	4	1	9	25	42	13
11	Sindri	14	3	2	9	19	36	11
12	FC Arbaer	14	1	2	11	16	38	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vidir Gardur	KF Fjallabyggd
Sindri	0-1 L	2-0 W
KH Hlidarendi	1-1 D	1-0 W
Augnablik Kopavogur	0-0 D	3-1 W
Tindastoll	3-0 W	3-1 W
KV Vesturbaer	3-5 L	3-5 L
Reynir Sandgerdi	5-0 W	0-3 L
Hottur/Huginn	2-1 W	0-0 D
FC Arbaer	1-0 W	2-2 D
KA Asvellir	4-1 W	2-1 W
Ymir Kopavogur	3-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vidir Gardur (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vidir Gardur

WWWWWLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
17/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
13/07	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
04/07	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	3-0	3	7	W
26/06	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-3	3-5	–	–	L
19/06	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	5-0	4	2	W
14/06	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
10/06	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
06/06	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	4-1	13	5	W
01/06	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	3-1	3	4	W

KF Fjallabyggd

LDWWWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	0-3	10	1	L
18/07	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	2-0	10	3	W
12/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
27/06	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-2	12	1	D
20/06	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
14/06	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/06	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	3-1	1	2	W
06/06	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
30/05	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	3-5	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vidir Gardur vs KF Fjallabyggd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vidir Gardur win (57%). Probabilities: Vidir Gardur 57%, draw 22%, KF Fjallabyggd 21%.

How many goals are expected in Vidir Gardur vs KF Fjallabyggd?

The model expects 3 goals (Vidir Gardur 1.92 · KF Fjallabyggd 1.07), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vidir Gardur vs KF Fjallabyggd?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.