Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 25/07, 18:00

Prediction: FC Arbaer vs Tindastoll

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

FC Arbaer1.49

Tindastoll2.19

1X2

25% 22% 53%

FC Arbaer Draw Tindastoll

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Arbaer 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLDLLL

Tindastoll 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLWLWW

Head-to-head

FC Arbaer 0–3 Tindastoll (3 last)

Tindastoll3-1FC Arbaer
FC Arbaer1-2Tindastoll
Tindastoll7-2FC Arbaer

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tindastoll (rating 1394 vs 1554).
H2H favours Tindastoll: 3-0-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Arbaer	Tindastoll
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.5	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	3.5 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.96

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:14

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.57 → 4.57	Pinn 4.57
X	4.62 → 4.62	Pinn 4.62
2	1.49 → 1.49	Pinn 1.49

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
08:14	4.57	4.62	1.49

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Arbaer 0–0–3 Tindastoll

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Tindastoll	3-1 HT 2-1	FC Arbaer
24/08/25 Iceland 3 Deild	FC Arbaer	1-2 HT 0-1	Tindastoll
14/06/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Tindastoll	7-2 HT 2-1	FC Arbaer

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tindastoll	13	9	1	3	34	20	28
2	Vidir Gardur	13	8	3	2	29	15	27
3	Reynir Sandgerdi	13	8	2	3	38	25	26
4	KH Hlidarendi	14	7	4	3	37	20	25
5	KV Vesturbaer	13	8	0	5	36	35	24
6	KF Fjallabyggd	13	5	5	3	18	15	20
7	Augnablik Kopavogur	14	5	3	6	29	29	18
8	Hottur/Huginn	13	3	6	4	15	18	15
9	Ymir Kopavogur	14	4	3	7	22	28	15
10	KA Asvellir	14	4	1	9	25	42	13
11	Sindri	13	2	2	9	18	36	8
12	FC Arbaer	13	1	2	10	16	34	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Arbaer	Tindastoll
KV Vesturbaer	0-2 L	4-1 W
Reynir Sandgerdi	1-3 L	2-1 W
Hottur/Huginn	0-2 L	0-0 D
KF Fjallabyggd	2-2 D	1-3 L
KA Asvellir	1-2 L	7-3 W
Vidir Gardur	0-1 L	0-3 L
Sindri	1-4 L	4-2 W
KH Hlidarendi	0-3 L	1-2 L
Augnablik Kopavogur	3-3 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 7 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tindastoll (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Arbaer

LDLLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
13/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	1-3	9	4	L
04/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
27/06	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-2	1	1	D
19/06	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
10/06	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
06/06	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	1-4	7	1	L
01/06	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	0-3	6	6	L
23/05	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
16/05	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	1-3	5	4	L

Tindastoll

DWWLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	7-3	6	6	W
12/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	2-1	7	6	W
04/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-3	3	7	L
25/06	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-2	9	2	W
19/06	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-2	7	6	L
14/06	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-1	6	2	W
10/06	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
06/06	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-1	7	3	W
31/05	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
23/05	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Arbaer vs Tindastoll?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tindastoll win (53%). Probabilities: FC Arbaer 25%, draw 22%, Tindastoll 53%.

How many goals are expected in FC Arbaer vs Tindastoll?

The model expects 3.68 goals (FC Arbaer 1.49 · Tindastoll 2.19), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Arbaer vs Tindastoll?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.