Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 28/07, 22:00

Prediction: Club Atlético Tembetary vs Resistencia FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

Club Atlético Tembetary1.67

Resistencia FC1.24

1X2

46% 27% 27%

Club Atlético Tembetary Draw Resistencia FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Club Atlético Tembetary 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLDWDW

Resistencia FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDDWLWLDWL

Head-to-head

Club Atlético Tembetary 4–0 Resistencia FC (4 last)

Resistencia FC1-3Club Atlético Tembetary
Club Atlético Tembetary1-0Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC0-2Club Atlético Tembetary

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Atlético Tembetary 1541 · Resistencia FC 1488

	Club Atlético Tembetary	Draw	Resistencia FC
Our model	46%	26%	27%
Market	46%	27%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Atlético Tembetary (rating 1541 vs 1488).
H2H favours Club Atlético Tembetary: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Atlético Tembetary	Resistencia FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.2	2.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	6.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.25

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:24 +17’	1.95	3.25	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atlético Tembetary 4–0–0 Resistencia FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	1-3 HT 0-1	Club Atlético Tembetary
29/07/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Club Atlético Tembetary	1-0 HT 0-0	Resistencia FC
20/04/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Club Atlético Tembetary
06/09/22 Paraguay Cup	Resistencia FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Club Atlético Tembetary

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	15	10	3	2	22	11	33
2	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	15	9	4	2	26	13	31
3	Deportivo Santaní	16	8	3	5	22	14	27
4	General Caballero JLM	15	8	3	4	30	21	27
5	Sol de America	15	5	8	2	18	13	23
6	Club Atlético Tembetary	15	6	4	5	24	21	22
7	Deportivo Capiata	15	5	7	3	21	18	22
8	Guairena FC	15	6	3	6	17	19	21
9	Independiente FBC	15	5	5	5	23	22	20
10	Carapegua	15	5	4	6	18	27	19
11	Resistencia FC	15	4	6	5	16	20	18
12	Fernando de la Mora	15	5	3	7	18	24	18
13	Tacuary	15	2	8	5	19	23	14
14	Paraguari AC	16	3	4	9	15	22	13
15	Encarnacion FC	15	3	2	10	15	23	11
16	3 de Noviembre	15	0	7	8	13	26	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Atlético Tembetary	Resistencia FC
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	4-3 W	0-2 L
Carapegua	0-1 L	1-1 D
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	0-1 L	2-3 L
Encarnacion FC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club Atlético Tembetary (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Club Atlético Tembetary

WLLWDLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	CA Campo Florido Paraguay Cup	3-0	5-1	6	3	W
19/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
14/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
08/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-2	2-2	5	6	D
27/06	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-4	–	–	L
04/06	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	5	8	D
30/05	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	4-3	3	8	W
25/05	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
20/05	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
16/05	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	5	8	W

Resistencia FC

DDDWLWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
14/07	Deportivo Santa Monica Paraguay Cup	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
10/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
05/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-3	2-3	6	9	L
30/06	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
04/06	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-3	5	6	L
30/05	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-1	6	6	W
24/05	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	4	10	D
21/05	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-2	8	7	D
16/05	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Resistencia FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atlético Tembetary win (46%). Probabilities: Club Atlético Tembetary 46%, draw 27%, Resistencia FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Resistencia FC?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Club Atlético Tembetary 1.67 · Resistencia FC 1.24), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Resistencia FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.