Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 02/08, 15:00

Prediction: Deportivo Santaní vs Encarnacion FC

Team pages: Deportivo Santaní · Encarnacion FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Deportivo Santaní1.74

Encarnacion FC0.83

1X2

58% 25% 17%

Deportivo Santaní Draw Encarnacion FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Santaní 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWLWW

Encarnacion FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLWDD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Santaní 2–1–2 Encarnacion FC (5 last)

Encarnacion FC1-3Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní1-1Encarnacion FC
Encarnacion FC1-0Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní1-0Encarnacion FC
Encarnacion FC3-2Deportivo Santaní

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Santaní 1595 · Encarnacion FC 1430

	Deportivo Santaní	Draw	Encarnacion FC
Our model	58%	26%	16%
Market	59%	24%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santaní (rating 1595 vs 1430).
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Santaní	Encarnacion FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.4	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.1	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.3	1.6 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.70

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
23:13 +1’	1.53	3.70	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Santaní 2–1–2 Encarnacion FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	1-3 HT 1-2	Deportivo Santaní
08/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	1-1 HT 1-0	Encarnacion FC
06/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Santaní
15/09/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	1-0 HT 1-0	Encarnacion FC
08/06/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Encarnacion FC	3-2 HT 1-2	Deportivo Santaní

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	17	11	4	2	24	12	37
2	General Caballero JLM	17	10	3	4	34	22	33
3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	17	9	5	3	27	16	32
4	Deportivo Santaní	16	8	3	5	22	14	27
5	Sol de America	16	5	9	2	19	14	24
6	Deportivo Capiata	16	5	8	3	22	19	23
7	Club Atlético Tembetary	16	6	4	6	24	22	22
8	Guairena FC	16	6	4	6	18	20	22
9	Independiente FBC	16	5	6	5	24	23	21
10	Resistencia FC	16	5	6	5	17	20	21
11	Fernando de la Mora	17	5	5	7	19	25	20
12	Carapegua	16	5	4	7	19	29	19
13	Tacuary	16	2	9	5	20	24	15
14	Paraguari AC	16	3	4	9	15	22	13
15	Encarnacion FC	16	3	3	10	15	23	12
16	3 de Noviembre	16	0	7	9	13	27	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Santaní	Encarnacion FC
Fernando de la Mora	2-3 L	0-0 D
3 de Noviembre	4-0 W	2-1 W
General Caballero JLM	2-1 W	0-1 L
Guairena FC	2-0 W	1-2 L
Resistencia FC	3-0 W	0-1 L
Sol de America	0-0 D	2-3 L
Deportivo Capiata	1-0 W	0-1 L
Independiente FBC	2-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Deportivo Santaní

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Presidente Hayes Paraguay Cup	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
25/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
21/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	7	4	L
11/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	4-0	10	3	W
05/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
01/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
04/06	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-0	4	6	W
29/05	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
23/05	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
19/05	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	4	2	W

Encarnacion FC

DLLLLLLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
22/07	Humaita FBC Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
11/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
06/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
30/06	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
08/06	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	5	7	L
31/05	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
23/05	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-3	3	5	L
19/05	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-2	4	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Santaní vs Encarnacion FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Santaní win (58%). Probabilities: Deportivo Santaní 58%, draw 25%, Encarnacion FC 17%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Santaní vs Encarnacion FC?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Deportivo Santaní 1.74 · Encarnacion FC 0.83), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Santaní vs Encarnacion FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.