Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 04/08, 00:30

Prediction: Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata

Team pages: Paraguari AC · Deportivo Capiata

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Paraguari AC1.19

Deportivo Capiata1.37

1X2

31% 29% 40%

Paraguari AC Draw Deportivo Capiata

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Paraguari AC 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Deportivo Capiata 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDLDLD

Head-to-head

Paraguari AC 0–1 Deportivo Capiata (1 last)

Deportivo Capiata3-1Paraguari AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paraguari AC 1451 · Deportivo Capiata 1504

	Paraguari AC	Draw	Deportivo Capiata
Our model	31%	29%	40%
Market	31%	29%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Capiata (rating 1451 vs 1504).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paraguari AC	Deportivo Capiata
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.5	1.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.10

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:24 +1’	2.88	3.10	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Paraguari AC 0–0–1 Deportivo Capiata

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	3-1 HT 3-0	Paraguari AC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	17	11	4	2	24	12	37
2	General Caballero JLM	17	10	3	4	34	22	33
3	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	17	9	5	3	27	16	32
4	Deportivo Santaní	16	8	3	5	22	14	27
5	Sol de America	16	5	9	2	19	14	24
6	Resistencia FC	17	6	6	5	20	21	24
7	Club Atlético Tembetary	17	6	5	6	24	22	23
8	Guairena FC	17	6	5	6	18	20	23
9	Deportivo Capiata	16	5	8	3	22	19	23
10	Independiente FBC	16	5	6	5	24	23	21
11	Fernando de la Mora	17	5	5	7	19	25	20
12	Carapegua	16	5	4	7	19	29	19
13	Tacuary	17	2	9	6	21	27	15
14	Paraguari AC	16	3	4	9	15	22	13
15	Encarnacion FC	16	3	3	10	15	23	12
16	3 de Noviembre	16	0	7	9	13	27	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paraguari AC	Deportivo Capiata
Deportivo Santaní	0-2 L	0-1 L
Independiente FBC	3-2 W	1-1 D
Fernando de la Mora	2-2 D	2-1 W
Tacuary	0-1 L	0-0 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-1 D	1-3 L
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Capiata (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Paraguari AC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
18/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-2	6	7	W
15/07	Club 15 de Agosto FBC Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
10/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
03/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
28/06	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	9	6	D
04/06	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
31/05	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	4	9	L
25/05	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	5	L
20/05	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	11	8	L

Deportivo Capiata

WLWDWDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
23/07	Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Cup	0-1	2-3	9	5	L
20/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
14/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
07/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
27/06	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	5-2	5	2	W
07/06	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
31/05	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
23/05	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
19/05	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Capiata win (40%). Probabilities: Paraguari AC 31%, draw 29%, Deportivo Capiata 40%.

How many goals are expected in Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Paraguari AC 1.19 · Deportivo Capiata 1.37), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paraguari AC vs Deportivo Capiata?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.