Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 01/08, 15:00

Prediction: Resistencia FC vs Tacuary

Team pages: Resistencia FC · Tacuary

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Resistencia FC1.53

Tacuary1.22

1X2

43% 28% 29%

Resistencia FC Draw Tacuary

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Resistencia FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLWLDWLW

Tacuary 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDDLWWDDDW

Head-to-head

Resistencia FC 3–3 Tacuary (6 last)

Tacuary0-1Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC3-2Tacuary
Tacuary2-1Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC1-3Tacuary
Tacuary1-0Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC1-0Tacuary

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resistencia FC 1535 · Tacuary 1510

	Resistencia FC	Draw	Tacuary
Our model	43%	28%	29%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Resistencia FC	Tacuary
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.7	2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.6	4.6 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:25 +3’	2.10	3.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Resistencia FC 3–0–3 Tacuary

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Tacuary	0-1 HT 0-1	Resistencia FC
08/09/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	3-2 HT 2-1	Tacuary
01/06/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Tacuary	2-1 HT 1-0	Resistencia FC
02/11/23 Paraguay Division Profesional	Resistencia FC	1-3 HT 0-3	Tacuary
22/08/23 Paraguay Division Profesional	Tacuary	1-0 HT 0-0	Resistencia FC
22/05/23 Paraguay Division Profesional	Resistencia FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Tacuary

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	16	11	3	2	23	11	36
2	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	16	9	5	2	27	14	32
3	General Caballero JLM	16	9	3	4	32	22	30
4	Deportivo Santaní	16	8	3	5	22	14	27
5	Sol de America	16	5	9	2	19	14	24
6	Deportivo Capiata	16	5	8	3	22	19	23
7	Club Atlético Tembetary	16	6	4	6	24	22	22
8	Guairena FC	16	6	4	6	18	20	22
9	Independiente FBC	16	5	6	5	24	23	21
10	Resistencia FC	16	5	6	5	17	20	21
11	Carapegua	16	5	4	7	19	29	19
12	Fernando de la Mora	16	5	4	7	18	24	19
13	Tacuary	16	2	9	5	20	24	15
14	Paraguari AC	16	3	4	9	15	22	13
15	Encarnacion FC	16	3	3	10	15	23	12
16	3 de Noviembre	16	0	7	9	13	27	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Resistencia FC	Tacuary
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-0 W	4-2 W
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	0-2 L	2-3 L
Carapegua	1-1 D	2-2 D
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-3 L	2-2 D
Encarnacion FC	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tacuary (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Resistencia FC

DDWLWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
18/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
14/07	Deportivo Santa Monica Paraguay Cup	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
10/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
05/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-3	2-3	6	9	L
30/06	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
04/06	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-3	5	6	L
30/05	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-1	6	6	W
24/05	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	4	10	D
21/05	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-2	8	7	D

Tacuary

DDDLWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Club General Diaz Paraguay Cup	0-0	1-0	7	8	W
25/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
20/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
13/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-2	3	2	D
03/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
27/06	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	4-2	–	–	W
06/06	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	2	7	L
31/05	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-2	2	5	D
24/05	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-2	6	5	D
19/05	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-2	1	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Resistencia FC vs Tacuary?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Resistencia FC win (43%). Probabilities: Resistencia FC 43%, draw 28%, Tacuary 29%.

How many goals are expected in Resistencia FC vs Tacuary?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Resistencia FC 1.53 · Tacuary 1.22), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Resistencia FC vs Tacuary?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.