Football · Poland III Liga · 22/08, 13:00

Prediction: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa

Team pages: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj · Polonia Nysa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1.5

Polonia Nysa1.48

1X2

37% 27% 36%

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj Draw Polonia Nysa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWDLLL

Polonia Nysa 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWLDDW

Head-to-head

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1–2–3 Polonia Nysa (6 last)

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj1-2Polonia Nysa
Polonia Nysa1-0LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj0-0Polonia Nysa
Polonia Nysa2-1LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj4-0Polonia Nysa
Polonia Nysa0-0LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polonia Nysa (rating 1435 vs 1487).
H2H favours Polonia Nysa: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	Polonia Nysa
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	3.1 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.86

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:36

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.17▲	Pinn 2.17
X	3.73 → 3.61▼	Pinn 3.61
2	2.81 → 2.59▼	Pinn 2.59

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:21 +6’	2.00	3.73	2.81
10:31 +5’	2.17▲	3.61▼	2.59▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1–2–3 Polonia Nysa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	1-2 HT 0-1	Polonia Nysa
15/08/25 Poland III Liga	Polonia Nysa	1-0 HT 0-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
18/03/23 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	0-0 HT 0-0	Polonia Nysa
17/08/22 Poland III Liga	Polonia Nysa	2-1 HT 0-1	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj
24/04/21 Poland III Liga	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	4-0 HT 3-0	Polonia Nysa
12/09/20 Poland III Liga	Polonia Nysa	0-0 HT 0-0	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	4	4	0	0	8	1	12
2	Wislanie Jaskowice	4	3	1	0	8	3	10
3	KSZO Ostrowiec	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
4	Wisla Krakow II	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
5	Wisloka Debica	4	2	1	1	7	5	7
6	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
7	Hetman Zamosc	4	1	3	0	7	4	6
8	Moravia Morawica	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
9	Czarni Polaniec	4	2	0	2	4	5	6
10	Naprzod Jedrzejow	4	2	0	2	9	11	6
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
12	JKS Jaroslaw	4	1	1	2	7	8	4
13	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	4	1	1	2	6	8	4
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	4	1	1	2	5	8	4
15	Star Starachowice	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
16	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	4	0	2	2	4	7	2
17	Korona Kielce II	4	0	1	3	9	12	1
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	4	0	1	3	2	6	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj	Polonia Nysa
Sparta Katowice	1-2 L	2-3 L
Stal Brzeg	1-1 D	3-2 W
Zaglebie Lubin II	3-2 W	2-2 D
Skra Czestochowa	0-4 L	2-3 L
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	1-0 W	1-3 L
Carina Gubin	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Polonia Nysa (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj

LWLDLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
15/08	Sleza Wroclaw Poland III Liga	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
09/08	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
31/07	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
30/05	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	3-1	3-2	6	4	W
22/05	Skra Czestochowa Poland III Liga	0-4	0-4	4	6	L
16/05	Gornik Zabrze II Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	4	7	D
13/05	MKS Kluczbork Poland III Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
08/05	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
01/05	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	7	7	L

Polonia Nysa

LLLLLWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Stal Brzeg Poland III Liga	2-1	3-2	3	5	W
15/08	KS Stilon Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
08/08	Zaglebie Lubin II Poland III Liga	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
01/08	Odra Bytom Odrzanski Poland III Liga	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
30/05	Carina Gubin Poland III Liga	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
24/05	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
17/05	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	9	5	L
13/05	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
09/05	Warta Gorzow Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	11	8	L
01/05	Skra Czestochowa Poland III Liga	0-1	2-3	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj win (37%). Probabilities: LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 37%, draw 27%, Polonia Nysa 36%.

How many goals are expected in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa?

The model expects 2.99 goals (LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj 1.5 · Polonia Nysa 1.48), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Polonia Nysa?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.