Football · Poland III Liga · 30/08, 17:00

Prediction: Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Wisla Krakow II

Team pages: Naprzod Jedrzejow · Wisla Krakow II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Naprzod Jedrzejow1.5

Wisla Krakow II2.22

1X2

25% 22% 53%

Naprzod Jedrzejow Draw Wisla Krakow II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Naprzod Jedrzejow 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLWLL

Wisla Krakow II 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Naprzod Jedrzejow 2–0 Wisla Krakow II (2 last)

Wisla Krakow II1-2Naprzod Jedrzejow
Naprzod Jedrzejow3-2Wisla Krakow II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Naprzod Jedrzejow 1471 · Wisla Krakow II 1544

	Naprzod Jedrzejow	Draw	Wisla Krakow II
Our model	25%	22%	53%
Market	25%	22%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wisla Krakow II (rating 1471 vs 1544).
H2H favours Naprzod Jedrzejow: 2-0-0.
High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Naprzod Jedrzejow	Wisla Krakow II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.2	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.5	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/10/80%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.7	3.2 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.60

X4.10

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.85 ★
X	3.75 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	2.10 → 1.70▼	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:46 +4’	2.70	3.75	2.10
05:43 +3’	3.40▲	4.00▲	1.75▼
16:18 +6’	3.60▲	4.10▲	1.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:46	3.56	3.69	1.74
13:41 +6’	3.65▲	3.87▲	1.68▼
16:02 +22’	3.85▲	4.00▲	1.66▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Naprzod Jedrzejow 2–0–0 Wisla Krakow II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Poland III Liga	Wisla Krakow II	1-2 HT 1-2	Naprzod Jedrzejow
13/09/25 Poland III Liga	Naprzod Jedrzejow	3-2 HT 1-2	Wisla Krakow II

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	6	6	0	0	11	1	18
2	Wislanie Jaskowice	6	4	1	1	9	4	13
3	Czarni Polaniec	6	4	0	2	9	8	12
4	KSZO Ostrowiec	5	3	2	0	7	4	11
5	JKS Jaroslaw	6	3	1	2	12	8	10
6	Wisla Krakow II	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
7	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	6	2	2	2	5	5	8
8	Wieczysta Krakow II	6	2	1	3	8	9	7
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	6	2	1	3	7	8	7
10	Wisloka Debica	6	2	1	3	7	9	7
11	Hetman Zamosc	6	1	3	2	9	9	6
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	6	1	3	2	6	7	6
13	Moravia Morawica	5	2	0	3	6	8	6
14	Naprzod Jedrzejow	5	2	0	3	9	13	6
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	6	1	2	3	8	13	5
16	Star Starachowice	6	1	2	3	5	11	5
17	Korona Kielce II	6	1	1	4	16	17	4
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	6	1	1	4	6	9	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Naprzod Jedrzejow	Wisla Krakow II
Moravia Morawica	2-4 L	1-0 W
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	2-1 W	1-1 D
Wislanie Jaskowice	0-2 L	1-2 L
Korona Kielce II	5-4 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wisla Krakow II (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Naprzod Jedrzejow

LLWLLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
19/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	8	5	W
08/08	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
01/08	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	3-3	5-4	6	6	W
30/05	Stal Krasnik Poland III Liga	0-2	0-3	6	1	L
23/05	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
16/05	Swidniczanka Swidnik Poland III Liga	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
13/05	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
09/05	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Wisla Krakow II

LWWWWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-2	1-2	12	9	L
08/08	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
01/08	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	4-2	9	2	W
30/05	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	11	4	W
16/05	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
13/05	Cracovia Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-1	3-1	4	8	W
09/05	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	2-2	3-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Wisla Krakow II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wisla Krakow II win (53%). Probabilities: Naprzod Jedrzejow 25%, draw 22%, Wisla Krakow II 53%.

How many goals are expected in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Wisla Krakow II?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Naprzod Jedrzejow 1.5 · Wisla Krakow II 2.22), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Wisla Krakow II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.