Football · Poland III Liga · 29/08, 17:00
Prediction: Olimpia Elblag vs Wigry Suwalki
Team pages: Olimpia Elblag · Wigry Suwalki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Olimpia Elblag1.21
Wigry Suwalki1.61
1X2
Olimpia Elblag
Draw
Wigry Suwalki
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Olimpia Elblag
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Wigry Suwalki
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Olimpia Elblag
1–1–4
Wigry Suwalki
(6 last)
- Olimpia Elblag1-3Wigry Suwalki
- Wigry Suwalki4-1Olimpia Elblag
- Olimpia Elblag4-1Wigry Suwalki
- Wigry Suwalki1-0Olimpia Elblag
- Olimpia Elblag0-0Wigry Suwalki
- Wigry Suwalki2-1Olimpia Elblag
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olimpia Elblag 1484 · Wigry Suwalki 1564
| Olimpia Elblag | Draw | Wigry Suwalki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 27% | 46% |
| Market | 29% | 24% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wigry Suwalki (rating 1484 vs 1564).
- H2H favours Wigry Suwalki: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olimpia Elblag | Wigry Suwalki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 2.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Olimpia Elblag 1–1–4 Wigry Suwalki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Poland III Liga | Olimpia Elblag | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Wigry Suwalki |
| 25/10/25 Poland III Liga | Wigry Suwalki | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Olimpia Elblag |
| 04/12/21 Poland II Liga | Olimpia Elblag | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Wigry Suwalki |
| 13/08/21 Poland II Liga | Wigry Suwalki | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Olimpia Elblag |
| 06/03/21 Poland II Liga | Olimpia Elblag | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wigry Suwalki |
| 28/08/20 Poland II Liga | Wigry Suwalki | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Olimpia Elblag |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Wisla Krakow II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | JKS Jaroslaw | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 8 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Wisloka Debica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Moravia Morawica | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 13 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 16 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 1 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olimpia Elblag
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/08 | Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Olimpia Zambrow Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/08 | Polonia Lidzbark Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Znicz Biala Piska Poland III Liga |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 12 | L |
| 17/05 | Wisla Plock II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | Wigry Suwalki Poland III Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Widzew Lodz II Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Wigry Suwalki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/08 | Zabkovia Zabki Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/08 | CK Troszyn Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Jagiellonia Bialystok II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | LKS Lodz II Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Warta Sieradz Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | KS Wasilkow Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Olimpia Elblag Poland III Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Mlawianka Mlawa Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olimpia Elblag vs Wigry Suwalki?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Wigry Suwalki win (46%). Probabilities: Olimpia Elblag 28%, draw 25%, Wigry Suwalki 46%.
How many goals are expected in Olimpia Elblag vs Wigry Suwalki?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Olimpia Elblag 1.21 · Wigry Suwalki 1.61), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Olimpia Elblag vs Wigry Suwalki?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.