Football · Croatia 1.NL · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Karlovac vs Orijent

Team pages: Karlovac · Orijent

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

Karlovac1.4

Orijent0.94

1X2

47% 29% 25%

Karlovac Draw Orijent

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Karlovac 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLLDWW

Orijent 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDDLWLWD

Head-to-head

Karlovac 0–2–3 Orijent (5 last)

Karlovac1-1Orijent
Orijent1-0Karlovac
Karlovac0-3Orijent
Orijent1-1Karlovac
Orijent2-1Karlovac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karlovac 1479 · Orijent 1525

	Karlovac	Draw	Orijent
Our model	46%	30%	24%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orijent (rating 1479 vs 1525).
H2H favours Orijent: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Karlovac	Orijent
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	1.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.20

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
12:11 +11’	1.91	3.20	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Karlovac 0–2–3 Orijent

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/08/26 Club Friendly List	Karlovac	1-1 HT 1-0	Orijent
16/05/26 Croatia 1.NL	Orijent	1-0 HT 0-0	Karlovac
13/03/26 Croatia 1.NL	Karlovac	0-3 HT 0-1	Orijent
18/10/25 Croatia 1.NL	Orijent	1-1 HT 0-0	Karlovac
07/08/24 Europe Friendlies	Orijent	2-1 HT 2-1	Karlovac

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	9	6	1	2	15	7	19
2	Jadran LP	9	4	4	1	17	12	16
3	HNK Segesta	9	4	2	3	14	12	14
4	Bijelo Brdo	9	4	2	3	10	9	14
5	Karlovac	9	4	2	3	12	12	14
6	Mladost Zdralovi	9	4	2	3	9	10	14
7	HNK Cibalia	9	3	4	2	9	10	13
8	Dinamo Zagreb II	9	4	0	5	14	13	12
9	Orijent	9	3	3	3	8	9	12
10	NK Dubrava Zagreb	9	3	2	4	10	11	11
10	NK Opatija	9	3	2	4	10	11	11
12	Vukovar 91	9	3	2	4	14	17	11
13	NK Sesvete	9	3	1	5	10	10	10
14	NK Dugopolje	9	2	4	3	13	14	10
15	NK Kustosija	9	2	4	3	6	7	10
16	Hrvace	9	2	1	6	8	15	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Karlovac	Orijent
Dinamo Zagreb II	1-0 W	3-0 W
Bijelo Brdo	3-2 W	0-0 D
HNK Segesta	1-1 D	1-3 L
NK Dubrava Zagreb	0-1 L	2-1 W
Hrvace	3-1 W	0-3 L
NK Dugopolje	2-2 D	3-0 W
NK Opatija	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karlovac

LLWDWLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
09/10	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-1	3-2	5	8	W
27/09	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
20/09	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
12/09	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
06/09	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-1	3-1	5	5	W
02/09	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-2	3	6	D
29/08	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
21/08	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-3	3	6	L
29/05	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-3	4	4	L

Orijent

WLWDDLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
10/10	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
26/09	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
19/09	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
12/09	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
06/09	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
02/09	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/08	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
22/08	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	0-2	1-3	4	3	L
30/05	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	1-0	3-0	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karlovac vs Orijent?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Karlovac win (47%). Probabilities: Karlovac 47%, draw 29%, Orijent 25%.

How many goals are expected in Karlovac vs Orijent?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Karlovac 1.4 · Orijent 0.94), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Karlovac vs Orijent?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.