Football · Croatia 1.NL · 31/10, 12:45

Prediction: Hrvace vs NK Dugopolje

Team pages: Hrvace · NK Dugopolje

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

Hrvace1.13

NK Dugopolje1.23

1X2

33% 30% 37%

Hrvace Draw NK Dugopolje

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Hrvace 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWWLLD

NK Dugopolje 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDDLWLLDL

Head-to-head

Hrvace 1–5 NK Dugopolje (6 last)

NK Dugopolje3-0Hrvace
NK Dugopolje1-0Hrvace
Hrvace0-1NK Dugopolje
NK Dugopolje2-0Hrvace
NK Dugopolje1-3Hrvace
Hrvace0-2NK Dugopolje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hrvace 1432 · NK Dugopolje 1498

	Hrvace	Draw	NK Dugopolje
Our model	32%	31%	37%
Market	33%	29%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Dugopolje (rating 1432 vs 1498).
H2H favours NK Dugopolje: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hrvace	NK Dugopolje
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.7	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.10

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
06:07 +2’	2.70	3.10	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hrvace 1–0–5 NK Dugopolje

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Croatia 1.NL	NK Dugopolje	3-0 HT 1-0	Hrvace
02/02/26 Europe Friendlies	NK Dugopolje	1-0 HT 0-0	Hrvace
29/11/25 Croatia 1.NL	Hrvace	0-1 HT 0-1	NK Dugopolje
17/09/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Dugopolje	2-0 HT 1-0	Hrvace
02/08/25 Europe Friendlies	NK Dugopolje	1-3 HT 1-1	Hrvace
20/07/24 Club Friendly List	Hrvace	0-2	NK Dugopolje

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	10	6	1	3	15	9	19
2	HNK Segesta	10	5	2	3	16	12	17
3	Bijelo Brdo	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
4	Mladost Zdralovi	10	5	2	3	10	10	17
5	Jadran LP	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
6	HNK Cibalia	10	4	4	2	10	10	16
7	Orijent	10	4	3	3	10	9	15
8	NK Opatija	10	4	2	4	12	12	14
9	Karlovac	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
10	NK Kustosija	10	3	4	3	8	8	13
11	Dinamo Zagreb II	10	4	0	6	14	14	12
12	NK Sesvete	10	3	2	5	10	10	11
13	NK Dubrava Zagreb	10	3	2	5	11	13	11
14	Vukovar 91	10	3	2	5	14	19	11
15	NK Dugopolje	10	2	4	4	14	16	10
16	Hrvace	10	2	2	6	8	15	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hrvace	NK Dugopolje
NK Sesvete	0-0 D	2-1 W
NK Kustosija	1-2 L	1-1 D
Karlovac	1-3 L	2-2 D
NK Opatija	0-1 L	1-2 L
Jadran LP	1-4 L	4-4 D
NK Croatia Zmijavci	0-3 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: NK Dugopolje (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hrvace

LLLLDWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
17/10	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
26/09	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
19/09	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-1	8	6	W
12/09	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
06/09	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-3	4	5	L
02/09	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	13	4	L
29/08	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-4	1	4	L
23/08	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-3	3	7	L

NK Dugopolje

DWDDLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
17/10	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	1-2	4-4	0	9	D
11/10	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
27/09	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
19/09	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	2-0	3-2	4	2	W
12/09	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-2	3	7	L
05/09	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
02/09	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-2	5	6	D
28/08	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	2-1	2-1	1	3	W
22/08	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-1	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hrvace vs NK Dugopolje?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Dugopolje win (37%). Probabilities: Hrvace 33%, draw 30%, NK Dugopolje 37%.

How many goals are expected in Hrvace vs NK Dugopolje?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Hrvace 1.13 · NK Dugopolje 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hrvace vs NK Dugopolje?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.