Football · Croatia 1.NL · 01/11, 12:00

Prediction: NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Dinamo Zagreb II

Team pages: NK Croatia Zmijavci

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

NK Croatia Zmijavci1.62

Dinamo Zagreb II1.02

1X2

50% 27% 23%

NK Croatia Zmijavci Draw Dinamo Zagreb II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Croatia Zmijavci 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Dinamo Zagreb II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

NK Croatia Zmijavci 2–1–2 Dinamo Zagreb II (5 last)

Dinamo Zagreb II1-0NK Croatia Zmijavci
NK Croatia Zmijavci2-2Dinamo Zagreb II
NK Croatia Zmijavci1-4Dinamo Zagreb II
Dinamo Zagreb II1-2NK Croatia Zmijavci
NK Croatia Zmijavci1-0Dinamo Zagreb II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Croatia Zmijavci 1533 · Dinamo Zagreb II 1488

	NK Croatia Zmijavci	Draw	Dinamo Zagreb II
Our model	50%	27%	23%
Market	50%	28%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Croatia Zmijavci (rating 1533 vs 1488).
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Croatia Zmijavci	Dinamo Zagreb II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	1.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.3	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.25

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:13 +6’	1.80	3.25	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Croatia Zmijavci 2–1–2 Dinamo Zagreb II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/22 Croatia 1.NL	Dinamo Zagreb II	1-0 HT 1-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci
10/09/21 Croatia 1.NL	NK Croatia Zmijavci	2-2 HT 1-1	Dinamo Zagreb II
29/05/21 Croatia 1.NL	NK Croatia Zmijavci	1-4 HT 1-1	Dinamo Zagreb II
14/12/20 Croatia 1.NL	Dinamo Zagreb II	1-2 HT 1-0	NK Croatia Zmijavci
27/10/19 Croatia 1.NL	NK Croatia Zmijavci	1-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Zagreb II

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	10	6	1	3	15	9	19
2	HNK Segesta	10	5	2	3	16	12	17
3	Bijelo Brdo	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
4	Mladost Zdralovi	10	5	2	3	10	10	17
5	Jadran LP	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
6	HNK Cibalia	10	4	4	2	10	10	16
7	Orijent	10	4	3	3	10	9	15
8	NK Opatija	10	4	2	4	12	12	14
9	Karlovac	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
10	NK Kustosija	10	3	4	3	8	8	13
11	Dinamo Zagreb II	10	4	0	6	14	14	12
12	NK Sesvete	10	3	2	5	10	10	11
13	NK Dubrava Zagreb	10	3	2	5	11	13	11
14	Vukovar 91	10	3	2	5	14	19	11
15	NK Dugopolje	10	2	4	4	14	16	10
16	Hrvace	10	2	2	6	8	15	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Croatia Zmijavci	Dinamo Zagreb II
HNK Segesta	0-2 L	3-1 W
Mladost Zdralovi	3-1 W	1-0 W
NK Dugopolje	1-0 W	2-3 L
NK Sesvete	2-0 W	1-2 L
NK Kustosija	0-1 L	1-0 W
Vukovar 91	2-3 L	6-2 W
Orijent	1-1 D	0-3 L
Bijelo Brdo	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: NK Croatia Zmijavci (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Croatia Zmijavci

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
18/10	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	1-0	3-1	1	6	W
11/10	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
27/09	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-0	2-0	8	8	W
20/09	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
13/09	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	1-1	2-3	7	2	L
06/09	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
02/09	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
28/08	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
23/08	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-0	3-0	10	7	W

Dinamo Zagreb II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
16/10	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
11/10	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
25/09	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
19/09	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	0-2	2-3	6	2	L
11/09	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-2	7	4	L
06/09	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
02/09	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	3-1	6-2	2	2	W
29/08	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-2	0-3	4	1	L
23/08	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Dinamo Zagreb II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Croatia Zmijavci win (50%). Probabilities: NK Croatia Zmijavci 50%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb II 23%.

How many goals are expected in NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Dinamo Zagreb II?

The model expects 2.64 goals (NK Croatia Zmijavci 1.62 · Dinamo Zagreb II 1.02), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Croatia Zmijavci vs Dinamo Zagreb II?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.