Football · Croatia 1.NL · 30/10, 17:00

Prediction: HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac

Team pages: HNK Cibalia · Karlovac

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.36Total

HNK Cibalia1.44

Karlovac0.92

1X2

48% 28% 23%

HNK Cibalia Draw Karlovac

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

HNK Cibalia 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDDWWLLW

Karlovac 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLDWWL

Head-to-head

HNK Cibalia 2–1 Karlovac (3 last)

HNK Cibalia2-1Karlovac
HNK Cibalia1-2Karlovac
Karlovac0-1HNK Cibalia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HNK Cibalia 1508 · Karlovac 1494

	HNK Cibalia	Draw	Karlovac
Our model	48%	29%	23%
Market	49%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours HNK Cibalia: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HNK Cibalia	Karlovac
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 5.7	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.25

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:52 +14’	1.83	3.25	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HNK Cibalia 2–0–1 Karlovac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Croatia 1.NL	HNK Cibalia	2-1 HT 2-0	Karlovac
08/03/26 Croatia 1.NL	HNK Cibalia	1-2 HT 0-0	Karlovac
11/10/25 Croatia 1.NL	Karlovac	0-1 HT 0-0	HNK Cibalia

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	10	6	1	3	15	9	19
2	HNK Segesta	10	5	2	3	16	12	17
3	Bijelo Brdo	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
4	Mladost Zdralovi	10	5	2	3	10	10	17
5	Jadran LP	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
6	HNK Cibalia	10	4	4	2	10	10	16
7	Orijent	10	4	3	3	10	9	15
8	NK Opatija	10	4	2	4	12	12	14
9	Karlovac	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
10	NK Kustosija	10	3	4	3	8	8	13
11	Dinamo Zagreb II	10	4	0	6	14	14	12
12	NK Sesvete	10	3	2	5	10	10	11
13	NK Dubrava Zagreb	10	3	2	5	11	13	11
14	Vukovar 91	10	3	2	5	14	19	11
15	NK Dugopolje	10	2	4	4	14	16	10
16	Hrvace	10	2	2	6	8	15	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HNK Cibalia	Karlovac
Dinamo Zagreb II	1-0 W	1-0 W
HNK Segesta	1-4 L	1-1 D
Mladost Zdralovi	1-2 L	0-1 L
NK Dugopolje	1-0 W	2-2 D
NK Sesvete	2-1 W	0-3 L
Orijent	0-0 D	0-2 L
Bijelo Brdo	1-1 D	3-2 W
NK Dubrava Zagreb	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: HNK Cibalia (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HNK Cibalia

WDDDDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	10	1	W
17/10	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-4	3	8	L
09/10	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
27/09	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
18/09	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	2-1	2-1	5	3	W
12/09	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
05/09	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
02/09	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
28/08	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
22/08	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	2-1	2-1	6	6	W

Karlovac

LWDWLLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
16/10	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
09/10	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-1	3-2	5	8	W
27/09	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
20/09	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
12/09	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
06/09	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-1	3-1	5	5	W
02/09	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-2	3	6	D
29/08	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-1	2	5	W
21/08	NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-3	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HNK Cibalia win (48%). Probabilities: HNK Cibalia 48%, draw 28%, Karlovac 23%.

How many goals are expected in HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac?

The model expects 2.36 goals (HNK Cibalia 1.44 · Karlovac 0.92), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in HNK Cibalia vs Karlovac?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.