Football · Croatia 1.NL · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Bijelo Brdo vs NK Kustosija

Team pages: Bijelo Brdo · NK Kustosija

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.96Total

Bijelo Brdo1.07

NK Kustosija0.88

1X2

39% 32% 29%

Bijelo Brdo Draw NK Kustosija

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Bijelo Brdo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWLWLDW

NK Kustosija 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDLDWLDWW

Head-to-head

Bijelo Brdo 2–4 NK Kustosija (6 last)

NK Kustosija1-2Bijelo Brdo
Bijelo Brdo1-0NK Kustosija
Bijelo Brdo0-1NK Kustosija
NK Kustosija5-2Bijelo Brdo
Bijelo Brdo2-3NK Kustosija
NK Kustosija1-0Bijelo Brdo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bijelo Brdo 1533 · NK Kustosija 1498

	Bijelo Brdo	Draw	NK Kustosija
Our model	38%	34%	28%
Market	40%	30%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Kustosija: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bijelo Brdo	NK Kustosija
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.5	2.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.00

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:02 +9’	2.25	3.00	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bijelo Brdo 2–0–4 NK Kustosija

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/09/26 Croatia Cup	NK Kustosija	1-2 HT 0-0	Bijelo Brdo
13/05/23 Croatia 1.NL	Bijelo Brdo	1-0 HT 1-0	NK Kustosija
18/03/23 Croatia 1.NL	Bijelo Brdo	0-1 HT 0-0	NK Kustosija
22/10/22 Croatia 1.NL	NK Kustosija	5-2 HT 2-2	Bijelo Brdo
22/05/22 Croatia 1.NL	Bijelo Brdo	2-3 HT 1-1	NK Kustosija
27/11/21 Croatia 1.NL	NK Kustosija	1-0 HT 1-0	Bijelo Brdo

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	10	6	1	3	15	9	19
2	HNK Segesta	10	5	2	3	16	12	17
3	Bijelo Brdo	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
4	Mladost Zdralovi	10	5	2	3	10	10	17
5	Jadran LP	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
6	HNK Cibalia	10	4	4	2	10	10	16
7	Orijent	10	4	3	3	10	9	15
8	NK Opatija	10	4	2	4	12	12	14
9	Karlovac	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
10	NK Kustosija	10	3	4	3	8	8	13
11	Dinamo Zagreb II	10	4	0	6	14	14	12
12	NK Sesvete	10	3	2	5	10	10	11
13	NK Dubrava Zagreb	10	3	2	5	11	13	11
14	Vukovar 91	10	3	2	5	14	19	11
15	NK Dugopolje	10	2	4	4	14	16	10
16	Hrvace	10	2	2	6	8	15	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bijelo Brdo	NK Kustosija
NK Dubrava Zagreb	1-0 W	2-1 W
Hrvace	1-2 L	2-1 W
NK Opatija	3-2 W	1-1 D
Jadran LP	1-0 W	0-1 L
NK Croatia Zmijavci	0-1 L	1-0 W
HNK Cibalia	1-1 D	0-0 D
Dinamo Zagreb II	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bijelo Brdo (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bijelo Brdo

WDLWWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
17/10	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
09/10	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-3	0	8	L
26/09	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
19/09	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
11/09	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-2	3-2	3	5	W
06/09	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
02/09	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
28/08	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
23/08	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	1	3	W

NK Kustosija

DLDLDWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	2-1	2-1	3	5	W
17/10	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-1	2-1	4	6	W
09/10	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
26/09	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
20/09	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
12/09	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
06/09	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
02/09	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
30/08	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
22/08	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	1	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bijelo Brdo vs NK Kustosija?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bijelo Brdo win (39%). Probabilities: Bijelo Brdo 39%, draw 32%, NK Kustosija 29%.

How many goals are expected in Bijelo Brdo vs NK Kustosija?

The model expects 1.96 goals (Bijelo Brdo 1.07 · NK Kustosija 0.88), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bijelo Brdo vs NK Kustosija?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.