Football · Croatia 1.NL · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: Orijent vs Vukovar 91

Team pages: Orijent · Vukovar 91

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Orijent1.4

Vukovar 911.1

1X2

43% 29% 29%

Orijent Draw Vukovar 91

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Orijent 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDLWLWDW

Vukovar 91 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLDWLLWLL

Head-to-head

Orijent 1–2–3 Vukovar 91 (6 last)

Orijent1-1Vukovar 91
Orijent0-1Vukovar 91
Vukovar 910-1Orijent
Orijent0-0Vukovar 91
Vukovar 912-0Orijent
Orijent0-1Vukovar 91

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orijent 1515 · Vukovar 91 1455

	Orijent	Draw	Vukovar 91
Our model	42%	29%	28%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orijent (rating 1515 vs 1455).
H2H favours Vukovar 91: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orijent	Vukovar 91
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.9	1.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:10 +2’	2.10	3.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orijent 1–2–3 Vukovar 91

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/25 Croatia 1.NL	Orijent	1-1 HT 1-0	Vukovar 91
15/03/25 Croatia 1.NL	Orijent	0-1 HT 0-0	Vukovar 91
20/10/24 Croatia 1.NL	Vukovar 91	0-1 HT 0-0	Orijent
27/03/24 Croatia 1.NL	Orijent	0-0 HT 0-0	Vukovar 91
11/11/23 Croatia 1.NL	Vukovar 91	2-0 HT 1-0	Orijent
26/08/23 Croatia 1.NL	Orijent	0-1 HT 0-1	Vukovar 91

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	10	6	1	3	15	9	19
2	HNK Segesta	10	5	2	3	16	12	17
3	Bijelo Brdo	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
4	Mladost Zdralovi	10	5	2	3	10	10	17
5	Jadran LP	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
6	HNK Cibalia	10	4	4	2	10	10	16
7	Orijent	10	4	3	3	10	9	15
8	NK Opatija	10	4	2	4	12	12	14
9	Karlovac	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
10	NK Kustosija	10	3	4	3	8	8	13
11	Dinamo Zagreb II	10	4	0	6	14	14	12
12	NK Sesvete	10	3	2	5	10	10	11
13	NK Dubrava Zagreb	10	3	2	5	11	13	11
14	Vukovar 91	10	3	2	5	14	19	11
15	NK Dugopolje	10	2	4	4	14	16	10
16	Hrvace	10	2	2	6	8	15	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orijent	Vukovar 91
Bijelo Brdo	0-0 D	0-2 L
NK Dubrava Zagreb	2-1 W	2-3 L
Hrvace	0-3 L	1-0 W
NK Opatija	1-0 W	0-1 L
Jadran LP	0-1 L	2-3 L
NK Croatia Zmijavci	1-1 D	3-2 W
HNK Cibalia	0-0 D	1-1 D
Dinamo Zagreb II	3-0 W	2-6 L
HNK Segesta	1-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Orijent (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orijent

LWDDLWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
17/10	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
10/10	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
26/09	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
19/09	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
12/09	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	4	8	L
06/09	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
02/09	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/08	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	2-0	3-0	3	1	W
22/08	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	0-2	1-3	4	3	L

Vukovar 91

DWLDWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
17/10	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	1-2	2-3	4	7	L
10/10	Hrvace Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-0	0	8	W
27/09	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
19/09	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	2-2	2-3	1	6	L
13/09	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
05/09	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
02/09	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	1-3	2-6	4	2	L
28/08	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
21/08	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-1	3	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orijent vs Vukovar 91?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orijent win (43%). Probabilities: Orijent 43%, draw 29%, Vukovar 91 29%.

How many goals are expected in Orijent vs Vukovar 91?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Orijent 1.4 · Vukovar 91 1.1), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Orijent vs Vukovar 91?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.