Football · Croatia 1.NL · 23/10, 15:00

Prediction: NK Sesvete vs Hrvace

Team pages: NK Sesvete · Hrvace

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

NK Sesvete1.64

Hrvace0.97

1X2

52% 27% 21%

NK Sesvete Draw Hrvace

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Sesvete 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLLDL

Hrvace 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDWWLL

Head-to-head

NK Sesvete 2–1–2 Hrvace (5 last)

Hrvace4-2NK Sesvete
Hrvace1-2NK Sesvete
NK Sesvete2-2Hrvace
Hrvace2-4NK Sesvete
NK Sesvete0-3Hrvace

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Sesvete 1458 · Hrvace 1446

	NK Sesvete	Draw	Hrvace
Our model	52%	27%	21%
Market	52%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Sesvete	Hrvace
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.8	3.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.4	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.40

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.77

2 (+0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:56 +9’	1.73	3.40	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Sesvete 2–1–2 Hrvace

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Croatia 1.NL	Hrvace	4-2 HT 1-0	NK Sesvete
14/03/26 Croatia 1.NL	Hrvace	1-2 HT 0-2	NK Sesvete
17/10/25 Croatia 1.NL	NK Sesvete	2-2 HT 1-1	Hrvace
20/05/23 Croatia 2.NL	Hrvace	2-4 HT 2-3	NK Sesvete
11/11/22 Croatia 2.NL	NK Sesvete	0-3 HT 0-2	Hrvace

Standings · Croatia 1.NL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Croatia Zmijavci	9	6	1	2	15	7	19
2	Jadran LP	9	4	4	1	17	12	16
3	HNK Segesta	9	4	2	3	14	12	14
4	Bijelo Brdo	9	4	2	3	10	9	14
5	Karlovac	9	4	2	3	12	12	14
6	Mladost Zdralovi	9	4	2	3	9	10	14
7	HNK Cibalia	9	3	4	2	9	10	13
8	Dinamo Zagreb II	9	4	0	5	14	13	12
9	Orijent	9	3	3	3	8	9	12
10	NK Dubrava Zagreb	9	3	2	4	10	11	11
10	NK Opatija	9	3	2	4	10	11	11
12	Vukovar 91	9	3	2	4	14	17	11
13	NK Sesvete	9	3	1	5	10	10	10
14	NK Dugopolje	9	2	4	3	13	14	10
15	NK Kustosija	9	2	4	3	6	7	10
16	Hrvace	9	2	1	6	8	15	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Sesvete	Hrvace
NK Opatija	0-1 L	0-1 L
Jadran LP	1-1 D	1-4 L
NK Croatia Zmijavci	0-2 L	0-3 L
Karlovac	3-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: NK Sesvete (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Sesvete

LWLLWWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
09/10	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
27/09	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-2	0	8	L
18/09	HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
11/09	Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
05/09	HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL	0-0	2-0	2	8	W
02/09	Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
28/08	NK Dugopolje Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-2	8	3	L
21/08	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	0-0	3-0	4	6	W
29/05	NK Rudes Croatia 1.NL	1-1	1-3	5	4	L

Hrvace

LLLLLDWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-2	5	6	L
10/10	Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
26/09	Orijent Croatia 1.NL	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
19/09	Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL	1-0	2-1	8	6	W
12/09	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
06/09	Karlovac Croatia 1.NL	1-0	1-3	4	5	L
02/09	NK Opatija Croatia 1.NL	0-1	0-1	13	4	L
29/08	Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL	1-2	1-4	1	4	L
23/08	NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL	0-0	0-3	3	7	L
30/05	NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL	0-1	1-2	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Sesvete vs Hrvace?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Sesvete win (52%). Probabilities: NK Sesvete 52%, draw 27%, Hrvace 21%.

How many goals are expected in NK Sesvete vs Hrvace?

The model expects 2.61 goals (NK Sesvete 1.64 · Hrvace 0.97), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Sesvete vs Hrvace?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.