Football · Croatia 1.NL · 24/10, 15:00
Prediction: NK Dugopolje vs NK Opatija
Team pages: NK Dugopolje · NK Opatija
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
NK Dugopolje1.46
NK Opatija1.08
1X2
NK Dugopolje
Draw
NK Opatija
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Dugopolje
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
NK Opatija
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Dugopolje
1–2–3
NK Opatija
(6 last)
- NK Opatija3-0NK Dugopolje
- NK Dugopolje1-1NK Opatija
- NK Opatija0-1NK Dugopolje
- NK Dugopolje1-4NK Opatija
- NK Opatija2-0NK Dugopolje
- NK Dugopolje2-2NK Opatija
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Dugopolje 1468 · NK Opatija 1511
| NK Dugopolje | Draw | NK Opatija | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Opatija (rating 1468 vs 1511).
- H2H favours NK Opatija: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Dugopolje | NK Opatija | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Dugopolje 1–2–3 NK Opatija
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Croatia 1.NL | NK Opatija | 3-0 HT 3-0 | NK Dugopolje |
| 28/02/26 Croatia 1.NL | NK Dugopolje | 1-1 HT 1-0 | NK Opatija |
| 03/10/25 Croatia 1.NL | NK Opatija | 0-1 HT 0-0 | NK Dugopolje |
| 12/04/25 Croatia 1.NL | NK Dugopolje | 1-4 HT 0-1 | NK Opatija |
| 07/03/25 Croatia 1.NL | NK Opatija | 2-0 HT 1-0 | NK Dugopolje |
| 11/10/24 Croatia 1.NL | NK Dugopolje | 2-2 HT 0-1 | NK Opatija |
Standings · Croatia 1.NL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Croatia Zmijavci | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Jadran LP | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 3 | HNK Segesta | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
| 4 | Bijelo Brdo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Karlovac | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 14 |
| 6 | Mladost Zdralovi | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 14 |
| 7 | HNK Cibalia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Dinamo Zagreb II | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 9 | Orijent | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | NK Dubrava Zagreb | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | NK Opatija | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 12 | Vukovar 91 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 11 |
| 13 | NK Sesvete | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | NK Dugopolje | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
| 15 | NK Kustosija | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 16 | Hrvace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Dugopolje | NK Opatija |
|---|---|---|
| Jadran LP | 4-4 D | 2-2 D |
| Karlovac | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| NK Sesvete | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| NK Kustosija | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Orijent | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Dugopolje
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL |
1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 9 | D |
| 11/10 | NK Croatia Zmijavci Croatia 1.NL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | HNK Cibalia Croatia 1.NL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Dinamo Zagreb II Croatia 1.NL |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | HNK Segesta Croatia 1.NL |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Mladost Zdralovi Croatia 1.NL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 02/09 | Karlovac Croatia 1.NL |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 28/08 | NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Orijent Croatia 1.NL |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
NK Opatija
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | NK Sesvete Croatia 1.NL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | NK Kustosija Croatia 1.NL |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 27/09 | Vukovar 91 Croatia 1.NL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Orijent Croatia 1.NL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Bijelo Brdo Croatia 1.NL |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | NK Dubrava Zagreb Croatia 1.NL |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Hrvace Croatia 1.NL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Karlovac Croatia 1.NL |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Jadran LP Croatia 1.NL |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 29/05 | Karlovac Croatia 1.NL |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Dugopolje vs NK Opatija?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Dugopolje win (45%). Probabilities: NK Dugopolje 45%, draw 28%, NK Opatija 27%.
How many goals are expected in NK Dugopolje vs NK Opatija?
The model expects 2.54 goals (NK Dugopolje 1.46 · NK Opatija 1.08), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Dugopolje vs NK Opatija?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.