Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 25/10, 12:00
Prediction: Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza
Team pages: Alcorcon · UD Ibiza
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Alcorcon1.81
UD Ibiza1.18
1X2
Alcorcon
Draw
UD Ibiza
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Alcorcon
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
UD Ibiza
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Alcorcon
0–2–4
UD Ibiza
(6 last)
- UD Ibiza2-2Alcorcon
- Alcorcon2-2UD Ibiza
- UD Ibiza2-0Alcorcon
- Alcorcon1-2UD Ibiza
- UD Ibiza6-2Alcorcon
- Alcorcon0-2UD Ibiza
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alcorcon 1533 · UD Ibiza 1557
| Alcorcon | Draw | UD Ibiza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours UD Ibiza: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alcorcon | UD Ibiza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alcorcon 0–2–4 UD Ibiza
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | UD Ibiza | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Alcorcon |
| 21/12/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Alcorcon | 2-2 HT 0-1 | UD Ibiza |
| 10/05/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | UD Ibiza | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Alcorcon |
| 22/12/24 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Alcorcon | 1-2 HT 0-0 | UD Ibiza |
| 08/01/22 Spain Segunda | UD Ibiza | 6-2 HT 2-2 | Alcorcon |
| 01/11/21 Spain Segunda | Alcorcon | 0-2 HT 0-0 | UD Ibiza |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal B | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Real Zaragoza | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Real Murcia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Real Jaen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Alcorcon | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | UD Ibiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Hercules | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Real Madrid B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Huesca | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | Gimnastic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Antequera | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| 13 | Algeciras CF | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Atletico Madrid B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | UE Sant Andreu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | CE Europa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Teruel | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 5 |
| 19 | Rayo Majadahonda | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 20 | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Alcorcon | UD Ibiza |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid B | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Antequera | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| CE Europa | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Aguilas | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Alcorcon (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alcorcon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Huesca Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 11 | L |
| 03/10 | Juventud Torremolinos CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 27/09 | Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Marbella FC Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
3-0 | 6-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
UD Ibiza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/10 | Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 25/09 | Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 19/09 | Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | UE Sant Andreu Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Alcorcon win (50%). Probabilities: Alcorcon 50%, draw 27%, UD Ibiza 23%.
How many goals are expected in Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza?
The model expects 2.98 goals (Alcorcon 1.81 · UD Ibiza 1.18), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.