Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 25/10, 14:15
Prediction: Villarreal B vs FC Cartagena
Team pages: Villarreal B · FC Cartagena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Villarreal B1.57
FC Cartagena1.09
1X2
Villarreal B
Draw
FC Cartagena
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Villarreal B
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
FC Cartagena
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Villarreal B
4–2
FC Cartagena
(6 last)
- Villarreal B1-0FC Cartagena
- FC Cartagena0-2Villarreal B
- FC Cartagena4-1Villarreal B
- Villarreal B1-2FC Cartagena
- Villarreal B5-2FC Cartagena
- FC Cartagena0-1Villarreal B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Villarreal B 1597 · FC Cartagena 1507
| Villarreal B | Draw | FC Cartagena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villarreal B (rating 1597 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Villarreal B: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villarreal B | FC Cartagena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5.9 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.6 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villarreal B 4–0–2 FC Cartagena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | Villarreal B | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Cartagena |
| 01/11/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 | FC Cartagena | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Villarreal B |
| 14/01/24 Spain Segunda | FC Cartagena | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Villarreal B |
| 02/09/23 Spain Segunda | Villarreal B | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Cartagena |
| 19/03/23 Spain Segunda | Villarreal B | 5-2 HT 1-2 | FC Cartagena |
| 07/12/22 Spain Segunda | FC Cartagena | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Villarreal B |
Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal B | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Real Zaragoza | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | Real Murcia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Cartagena | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Real Jaen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Alcorcon | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | UD Ibiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 8 | Hercules | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Real Madrid B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Huesca | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | Gimnastic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Antequera | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| 13 | Algeciras CF | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
| 14 | Atletico Madrid B | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | UE Sant Andreu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | CE Europa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
| 18 | Teruel | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 5 |
| 19 | Rayo Majadahonda | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| 20 | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villarreal B | FC Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| UD Ibiza | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Antequera | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Algeciras CF | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Rayo Majadahonda | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Villarreal B (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villarreal B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 04/10 | UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 25/09 | Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Huesca Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Atletico Sanluqueno Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Sevilla Atletico Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
FC Cartagena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 07/10 | Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
4-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Betis Deportivo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 16/05 | UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villarreal B vs FC Cartagena?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Villarreal B win (48%). Probabilities: Villarreal B 48%, draw 27%, FC Cartagena 25%.
How many goals are expected in Villarreal B vs FC Cartagena?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Villarreal B 1.57 · FC Cartagena 1.09), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Villarreal B vs FC Cartagena?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.