Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 30/10, 21:00

Prediction: UD Ibiza vs CE Europa

Team pages: UD Ibiza · CE Europa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

UD Ibiza1.97

CE Europa0.95

1X2

60% 24% 16%

UD Ibiza Draw CE Europa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

UD Ibiza 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWDWD

CE Europa 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWLWLL

Head-to-head

UD Ibiza 0–1–1 CE Europa (2 last)

CE Europa3-2UD Ibiza
UD Ibiza1-1CE Europa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UD Ibiza 1524 · CE Europa 1475

	UD Ibiza	Draw	CE Europa
Our model	60%	23%	17%
Market	60%	24%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UD Ibiza (rating 1524 vs 1475).
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UD Ibiza	CE Europa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.6	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.2	2.1 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.75

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.53
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.89
2	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 5.79 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:40 +8’	1.50	3.75	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:25 +34’	1.54	3.85	5.72
01:14 +1’	1.53▼	3.89▲	5.79▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UD Ibiza 0–1–1 CE Europa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	CE Europa	3-2 HT 2-1	UD Ibiza
23/11/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	UD Ibiza	1-1 HT 0-1	CE Europa

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal B	9	6	2	1	21	10	20
2	Real Zaragoza	9	6	2	1	17	10	20
3	Real Jaen	9	4	4	1	13	9	16
4	Real Murcia	9	5	1	3	11	8	16
5	FC Cartagena	9	4	3	2	14	9	15
6	Alcorcon	9	3	5	1	17	9	14
7	Gimnastic	9	4	2	3	15	14	14
8	UD Ibiza	9	4	2	3	14	13	14
9	Algeciras CF	9	4	1	4	13	13	13
10	Hercules	9	4	1	4	8	11	13
11	Real Madrid B	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
11	Huesca	9	2	6	1	11	11	12
13	Antequera	9	2	5	2	14	13	11
14	Atletico Madrid B	9	2	4	3	17	15	10
15	UE Sant Andreu	9	2	3	4	10	12	9
16	Rayo Majadahonda	9	2	1	6	7	10	7
17	Aguilas	9	1	4	4	9	15	7
18	CE Europa	9	2	1	6	6	15	7
19	Juventud Torremolinos CF	9	1	3	5	11	20	6
20	Teruel	9	1	3	5	4	15	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UD Ibiza	CE Europa
Alcorcon	3-3 D	0-0 D
Real Zaragoza	0-2 L	0-1 L
Real Jaen	1-2 L	0-3 L
Rayo Majadahonda	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UD Ibiza

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	3-3	2	8	D
17/10	Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
09/10	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
04/10	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	10	5	W
25/09	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
19/09	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	UE Sant Andreu Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
05/09	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
30/08	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-2	2-3	4	9	L
23/05	CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	2-3	2	7	L

CE Europa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
16/10	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
11/10	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-1	5	7	W
04/10	Huesca Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
27/09	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
19/09	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
12/09	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
06/09	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
30/08	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-3	3	1	L
23/05	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	3-2	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UD Ibiza vs CE Europa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UD Ibiza win (60%). Probabilities: UD Ibiza 60%, draw 24%, CE Europa 16%.

How many goals are expected in UD Ibiza vs CE Europa?

The model expects 2.92 goals (UD Ibiza 1.97 · CE Europa 0.95), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in UD Ibiza vs CE Europa?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.