Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 07/11, 16:30

Prediction: Antequera vs Rayo Majadahonda

Team pages: Antequera

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Antequera1.42

Rayo Majadahonda0.98

1X2

46% 29% 25%

Antequera Draw Rayo Majadahonda

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Antequera 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Rayo Majadahonda 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antequera 1499 · Rayo Majadahonda 1461

	Antequera	Draw	Rayo Majadahonda
Our model	46%	29%	25%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Antequera	Rayo Majadahonda
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	0.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.4	2.9 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.20

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:14 +6’	1.91	3.20	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal B	10	6	3	1	23	12	21
2	Real Zaragoza	10	6	3	1	19	12	21
3	Real Jaen	10	5	4	1	16	11	19
4	Real Murcia	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
5	UD Ibiza	10	5	2	3	17	13	17
6	Hercules	10	5	1	4	10	11	16
7	Alcorcon	10	3	6	1	18	10	15
8	FC Cartagena	10	4	3	3	14	11	15
9	Real Madrid B	10	4	3	3	13	11	15
9	Huesca	10	3	6	1	13	11	15
11	Gimnastic	10	4	2	4	15	16	14
12	Algeciras CF	10	4	1	5	15	16	13
13	UE Sant Andreu	10	3	3	4	12	12	12
14	Atletico Madrid B	10	2	5	3	18	16	11
15	Antequera	10	2	5	3	14	14	11
16	Aguilas	10	1	5	4	9	15	8
17	Rayo Majadahonda	10	2	1	7	7	12	7
18	Juventud Torremolinos CF	10	1	4	5	11	20	7
19	CE Europa	10	2	1	7	6	18	7
20	Teruel	10	1	3	6	4	17	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Antequera	Rayo Majadahonda
Real Murcia	0-1 L	0-1 L
FC Cartagena	1-1 D	1-1 D
UE Sant Andreu	2-2 D	2-1 W
Real Jaen	2-0 W	0-1 L
Villarreal B	2-2 D	1-2 L
UD Ibiza	3-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Antequera (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antequera

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
24/10	Huesca Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
18/10	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-3	5	7	L
11/10	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
04/10	UE Sant Andreu Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
27/09	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
12/09	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
05/09	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
30/08	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-2	3-2	5	9	W

Rayo Majadahonda

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
24/10	UE Sant Andreu Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
18/10	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-1	7	13	L
04/10	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	3	9	L
27/09	CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
19/09	Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
12/09	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-1	12	3	D
05/09	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-2	9	5	L
29/08	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-2	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antequera vs Rayo Majadahonda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Antequera win (46%). Probabilities: Antequera 46%, draw 29%, Rayo Majadahonda 25%.

How many goals are expected in Antequera vs Rayo Majadahonda?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Antequera 1.42 · Rayo Majadahonda 0.98), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Antequera vs Rayo Majadahonda?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.