Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 14/11, 18:45

Prediction: Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Huesca

Team pages: Juventud Torremolinos CF · Huesca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Juventud Torremolinos CF1.05

Huesca1.56

1X2

25% 27% 48%

Juventud Torremolinos CF Draw Huesca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Juventud Torremolinos CF 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDDWDD

Huesca 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

DLDDWDDDWL

Head-to-head

Juventud Torremolinos CF 0–1–0 Huesca (1 last)

Juventud Torremolinos CF2-2Huesca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juventud Torremolinos CF 1455 · Huesca 1520

	Juventud Torremolinos CF	Draw	Huesca
Our model	24%	28%	48%
Market	25%	27%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Huesca (rating 1455 vs 1520).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juventud Torremolinos CF	Huesca
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.9	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.6	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	4 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.30

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:09 +6’	3.60	3.30	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventud Torremolinos CF 0–1–0 Huesca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/11/22 Spain Copa del Rey	Juventud Torremolinos CF	2-2 HT 2-0	Huesca

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Zaragoza	11	7	3	1	21	12	24
2	Villarreal B	11	6	4	1	24	13	22
3	Real Murcia	11	6	2	3	13	9	20
4	Real Jaen	11	5	4	2	19	15	19
5	Alcorcon	11	4	6	1	22	13	18
6	UD Ibiza	11	5	3	3	18	14	18
7	Hercules	11	5	2	4	12	13	17
8	FC Cartagena	11	4	4	3	16	13	16
9	Real Madrid B	11	4	4	3	15	13	16
10	Huesca	11	3	6	2	13	13	15
11	Gimnastic	11	4	3	4	16	17	15
12	Antequera	11	3	5	3	17	15	14
13	Algeciras CF	11	4	2	5	16	17	14
14	UE Sant Andreu	11	3	4	4	14	14	13
15	Atletico Madrid B	11	2	5	4	20	19	11
16	CE Europa	11	3	1	7	9	20	10
17	Aguilas	11	1	6	4	10	16	9
18	Juventud Torremolinos CF	11	1	5	5	12	21	8
19	Rayo Majadahonda	11	2	1	8	8	15	7
20	Teruel	11	1	4	6	5	18	7

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventud Torremolinos CF	Huesca
Villarreal B	1-1 D	0-3 L
Aguilas	0-0 D	2-2 D
Gimnastic	2-2 D	2-0 W
Alcorcon	0-5 L	1-1 D
Real Zaragoza	3-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventud Torremolinos CF

LLLLLDDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
01/11	Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
24/10	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
18/10	UE Sant Andreu Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
10/10	Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	2-2	8	8	D
03/10	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-4	0-5	0	1	L
26/09	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
20/09	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
13/09	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	3-4	5	7	L
05/09	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-2	2	3	L

Huesca

DLDDWDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
02/11	Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
24/10	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
16/10	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
10/10	Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
04/10	CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	3-1	5	7	W
27/09	Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
19/09	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
13/09	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
06/09	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-2	2-2	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Huesca?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Huesca win (48%). Probabilities: Juventud Torremolinos CF 25%, draw 27%, Huesca 48%.

How many goals are expected in Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Huesca?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Juventud Torremolinos CF 1.05 · Huesca 1.56), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Juventud Torremolinos CF vs Huesca?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.