Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: Teruel vs UD Ibiza

Team pages: Teruel · UD Ibiza

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.31Total

Teruel0.99

UD Ibiza1.32

1X2

27% 30% 43%

Teruel Draw UD Ibiza

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Teruel 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLDLWLDL

UD Ibiza 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWDWDW

Head-to-head

Teruel 2–0 UD Ibiza (2 last)

Teruel1-0UD Ibiza
UD Ibiza0-1Teruel

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Teruel 1448 · UD Ibiza 1544

	Teruel	Draw	UD Ibiza
Our model	27%	30%	43%
Market	28%	29%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UD Ibiza (rating 1448 vs 1544).
H2H favours Teruel: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Teruel	UD Ibiza
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.4	2.4 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.10

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.92 ★
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +17’	3.25	3.10	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:16 +2’	3.92	2.94	2.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Teruel 2–0–0 UD Ibiza

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Teruel	1-0 HT 1-0	UD Ibiza
26/10/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	UD Ibiza	0-1 HT 0-0	Teruel

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal B	10	6	3	1	23	12	21
2	Real Zaragoza	10	6	3	1	19	12	21
3	Real Jaen	10	5	4	1	16	11	19
4	Real Murcia	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
5	UD Ibiza	10	5	2	3	17	13	17
6	Hercules	10	5	1	4	10	11	16
7	Alcorcon	10	3	6	1	18	10	15
8	FC Cartagena	10	4	3	3	14	11	15
9	Real Madrid B	10	4	3	3	13	11	15
9	Huesca	10	3	6	1	13	11	15
11	Gimnastic	10	4	2	4	15	16	14
12	Algeciras CF	10	4	1	5	15	16	13
13	UE Sant Andreu	10	3	3	4	12	12	12
14	Atletico Madrid B	10	2	5	3	18	16	11
15	Antequera	10	2	5	3	14	14	11
16	Aguilas	10	1	5	4	9	15	8
17	Rayo Majadahonda	10	2	1	7	7	12	7
18	Juventud Torremolinos CF	10	1	4	5	11	20	7
19	CE Europa	10	2	1	7	6	18	7
20	Teruel	10	1	3	6	4	17	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Teruel	UD Ibiza
UE Sant Andreu	0-2 L	2-0 W
Aguilas	1-1 D	2-1 W
Villarreal B	0-2 L	1-0 W
Alcorcon	1-0 W	3-3 D
Real Zaragoza	1-4 L	0-2 L
Rayo Majadahonda	0-2 L	2-1 W
Real Jaen	0-1 L	1-2 L
Real Madrid B	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: UD Ibiza (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Teruel

DLLLDLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	UE Sant Andreu Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
24/10	Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
17/10	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
10/10	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-0	3	11	W
04/10	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-4	2	6	L
27/09	Huesca Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
19/09	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
12/09	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
06/09	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-4	6	4	L
31/08	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

UD Ibiza

LWWLLWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
25/10	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	3-3	2	8	D
17/10	Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
09/10	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
04/10	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	10	5	W
25/09	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-2	2	8	L
19/09	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	UE Sant Andreu Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
05/09	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-1	8	5	W
30/08	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-2	2-3	4	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Teruel vs UD Ibiza?

According to our model, the most likely result is an UD Ibiza win (43%). Probabilities: Teruel 27%, draw 30%, UD Ibiza 43%.

How many goals are expected in Teruel vs UD Ibiza?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Teruel 0.99 · UD Ibiza 1.32), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Teruel vs UD Ibiza?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.