Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: Villarreal B vs Juventud Torremolinos CF

Team pages: Villarreal B · Juventud Torremolinos CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Villarreal B2.55

Juventud Torremolinos CF1.05

1X2

69% 19% 12%

Villarreal B Draw Juventud Torremolinos CF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Villarreal B 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWLDWWD

Juventud Torremolinos CF 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLDDWD

Head-to-head

Villarreal B 1–1–0 Juventud Torremolinos CF (2 last)

Villarreal B2-2Juventud Torremolinos CF
Juventud Torremolinos CF0-3Villarreal B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Villarreal B 1580 · Juventud Torremolinos CF 1440

	Villarreal B	Draw	Juventud Torremolinos CF
Our model	69%	18%	13%
Market	69%	19%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villarreal B (rating 1580 vs 1440).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Villarreal B	Juventud Torremolinos CF
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.2	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	1.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.6	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.93

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 11:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.36▲	Bet365 1.36
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.11 ★
2	8.00 → 6.50▼	Pinn 7.14

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:19 +5’	1.33	4.50	8.00
12:22 +7’	1.33	4.50	7.50▼
18:23 +8’	1.33	4.75▲	7.50
11:13 +21’	1.36▲	4.50▼	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:25 +52’	1.34	5.04	7.12
18:11 +20’	1.33▼	5.11▲	7.16▲
19:57 +9’	1.33▼	5.16▲	7.20▲
10:09 +19’	1.35▲	5.02▼	7.01▼
23:04 +29’	1.34▼	5.11▲	7.14▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Villarreal B 1–1–0 Juventud Torremolinos CF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Villarreal B	2-2 HT 1-1	Juventud Torremolinos CF
30/11/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	Juventud Torremolinos CF	0-3 HT 0-2	Villarreal B

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal B	10	6	3	1	23	12	21
2	Real Zaragoza	10	6	3	1	19	12	21
3	Real Jaen	10	5	4	1	16	11	19
4	Real Murcia	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
5	UD Ibiza	10	5	2	3	17	13	17
6	Hercules	10	5	1	4	10	11	16
7	Alcorcon	10	3	6	1	18	10	15
8	FC Cartagena	10	4	3	3	14	11	15
9	Real Madrid B	10	4	3	3	13	11	15
9	Huesca	10	3	6	1	13	11	15
11	Gimnastic	10	4	2	4	15	16	14
12	Algeciras CF	10	4	1	5	15	16	13
13	UE Sant Andreu	10	3	3	4	12	12	12
14	Atletico Madrid B	10	2	5	3	18	16	11
15	Antequera	10	2	5	3	14	14	11
16	Aguilas	10	1	5	4	9	15	8
17	Rayo Majadahonda	10	2	1	7	7	12	7
18	Juventud Torremolinos CF	10	1	4	5	11	20	7
19	CE Europa	10	2	1	7	6	18	7
20	Teruel	10	1	3	6	4	17	6

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Villarreal B	Juventud Torremolinos CF
Real Zaragoza	2-2 D	3-4 L
Atletico Madrid B	3-1 W	2-2 D
Algeciras CF	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Villarreal B (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Villarreal B

WWWDWLDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-2	1	5	D
25/10	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	4-1	11	2	W
17/10	Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-0	10	4	W
10/10	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	3-3	–	–	D
04/10	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
25/09	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
19/09	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	2-2	2	4	D
13/09	Huesca Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
04/09	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
29/08	Rayo Majadahonda Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-1	4	6	W

Juventud Torremolinos CF

DLLLLLDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
24/10	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
18/10	UE Sant Andreu Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
10/10	Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	2-2	8	8	D
03/10	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-4	0-5	0	1	L
26/09	Algeciras CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
20/09	Hercules Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
13/09	Real Zaragoza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-2	3-4	5	7	L
05/09	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
30/08	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-2	7	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Villarreal B vs Juventud Torremolinos CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Villarreal B win (69%). Probabilities: Villarreal B 69%, draw 19%, Juventud Torremolinos CF 12%.

How many goals are expected in Villarreal B vs Juventud Torremolinos CF?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Villarreal B 2.55 · Juventud Torremolinos CF 1.05), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Villarreal B vs Juventud Torremolinos CF?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.