Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · 07/11, 21:00

Prediction: Real Zaragoza vs Huesca

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Real Zaragoza1.48

Huesca1.03

1X2

47% 28% 25%

Real Zaragoza Draw Huesca

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Zaragoza 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDDWD

Huesca 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

WDLDDWDDDW

Head-to-head

Real Zaragoza 2–3–1 Huesca (6 last)

Huesca1-0Real Zaragoza
Real Zaragoza1-0Huesca
Real Zaragoza1-1Huesca
Real Zaragoza1-1Huesca
Huesca1-1Real Zaragoza
Huesca1-2Real Zaragoza

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Zaragoza 1580 · Huesca 1540

	Real Zaragoza	Draw	Huesca
Our model	46%	29%	25%
Market	47%	28%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Zaragoza (rating 1580 vs 1540).
H2H favours Real Zaragoza: 2-3-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Zaragoza	Huesca
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.3	4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.20

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:10 +10’	1.91	3.20	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Zaragoza 2–3–1 Huesca

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Spain Segunda	Huesca	1-0 HT 0-0	Real Zaragoza
16/11/25 Spain Segunda	Real Zaragoza	1-0 HT 1-0	Huesca
09/08/25 Europe Friendlies	Real Zaragoza	1-1 HT 1-1	Huesca
27/04/25 Spain Segunda	Real Zaragoza	1-1 HT 0-0	Huesca
09/11/24 Spain Segunda	Huesca	1-1 HT 1-0	Real Zaragoza
20/04/24 Spain Segunda	Huesca	1-2 HT 1-2	Real Zaragoza

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Villarreal B	10	6	3	1	23	12	21
2	Real Zaragoza	10	6	3	1	19	12	21
3	Real Jaen	10	5	4	1	16	11	19
4	Real Murcia	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
5	UD Ibiza	10	5	2	3	17	13	17
6	Hercules	10	5	1	4	10	11	16
7	Alcorcon	10	3	6	1	18	10	15
8	FC Cartagena	10	4	3	3	14	11	15
9	Real Madrid B	10	4	3	3	13	11	15
9	Huesca	10	3	6	1	13	11	15
11	Gimnastic	10	4	2	4	15	16	14
12	Algeciras CF	10	4	1	5	15	16	13
13	UE Sant Andreu	10	3	3	4	12	12	12
14	Atletico Madrid B	10	2	5	3	18	16	11
15	Antequera	10	2	5	3	14	14	11
16	Aguilas	10	1	5	4	9	15	8
17	Rayo Majadahonda	10	2	1	7	7	12	7
18	Juventud Torremolinos CF	10	1	4	5	11	20	7
19	CE Europa	10	2	1	7	6	18	7
20	Teruel	10	1	3	6	4	17	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Zaragoza	Huesca
Villarreal B	2-2 D	0-3 L
CE Europa	1-0 W	3-1 W
Atletico Madrid B	4-4 D	0-0 D
Teruel	4-1 W	1-1 D
Antequera	1-0 W	1-1 D
Gimnastic	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Real Zaragoza (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Zaragoza

LWWWWWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-2	6	5	D
23/10	CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
18/10	Real Murcia Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
11/10	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	4-4	6	5	D
04/10	Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	4-1	5	6	W
25/09	UD Ibiza Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	2-0	5	8	W
20/09	FC Cartagena Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
13/09	Juventud Torremolinos CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-1	4-3	5	7	W
05/09	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
30/08	Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	0-2	10	6	L

Huesca

WDLDDWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Gimnastic Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	2-0	8	6	W
24/10	Antequera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
16/10	Alcorcon Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
10/10	Aguilas Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
04/10	CE Europa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-0	3-1	5	7	W
27/09	Teruel Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
19/09	Atletico Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
13/09	Villarreal B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
06/09	Real Jaen Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	2-2	2-2	4	5	D
29/08	UE Sant Andreu Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Zaragoza vs Huesca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Zaragoza win (47%). Probabilities: Real Zaragoza 47%, draw 28%, Huesca 25%.

How many goals are expected in Real Zaragoza vs Huesca?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Real Zaragoza 1.48 · Huesca 1.03), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Zaragoza vs Huesca?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.