Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 28/08, 23:30
Prediction: Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion
Team pages: Sportivo San Lorenzo · Nacional Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.79Total
Sportivo San Lorenzo0.64
Nacional Asuncion1.14
1X2
Sportivo San Lorenzo
Draw
Nacional Asuncion
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo San Lorenzo
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Nacional Asuncion
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo San Lorenzo
0–3–3
Nacional Asuncion
(6 last)
- Sportivo San Lorenzo0-0Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion1-0Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo1-1Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion2-0Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo1-1Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion4-2Sportivo San Lorenzo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nacional Asuncion (rating 1438 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Nacional Asuncion: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | Nacional Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo San Lorenzo 0–3–3 Nacional Asuncion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 24/01/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 25/10/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 21/08/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 08/02/20 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 09/12/19 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo San Lorenzo | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueno | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Guarani Asuncion | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Libertad Asuncion | 0-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Rubio Nu | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Nacional Asuncion (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo San Lorenzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/07 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 22/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 27/04 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Nacional Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nacional Asuncion win (47%). Probabilities: Sportivo San Lorenzo 19%, draw 34%, Nacional Asuncion 47%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion?
The model expects 1.79 goals (Sportivo San Lorenzo 0.64 · Nacional Asuncion 1.14), with a 59% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Nacional Asuncion?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.