Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 06/09, 21:00
Prediction: Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu
Team pages: Libertad Asuncion · Rubio Nu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Libertad Asuncion1.56
Rubio Nu0.84
1X2
Libertad Asuncion
Draw
Rubio Nu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Libertad Asuncion
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Rubio Nu
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Libertad Asuncion
1–3–2
Rubio Nu
(6 last)
- Rubio Nu3-0Libertad Asuncion
- Libertad Asuncion0-1Rubio Nu
- Rubio Nu2-4Libertad Asuncion
- Libertad Asuncion0-0Rubio Nu
- Libertad Asuncion1-1Rubio Nu
- Rubio Nu0-0Libertad Asuncion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Libertad Asuncion 1500 · Rubio Nu 1485
| Libertad Asuncion | Draw | Rubio Nu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Rubio Nu: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Libertad Asuncion | Rubio Nu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Libertad Asuncion 1–3–2 Rubio Nu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Rubio Nu | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Libertad Asuncion |
| 20/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Rubio Nu |
| 09/11/17 Paraguay Division Profesional | Rubio Nu | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Libertad Asuncion |
| 22/07/17 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rubio Nu |
| 08/05/17 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Rubio Nu |
| 25/02/17 Paraguay Division Profesional | Rubio Nu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Libertad Asuncion |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Libertad Asuncion | Rubio Nu |
|---|---|---|
| Nacional Asuncion | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Cerro Porteno | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Guarani Asuncion | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| 2 de Mayo | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Libertad Asuncion (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Libertad Asuncion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 24/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Rubio Nu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 28/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 24/07 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Libertad Asuncion win (54%). Probabilities: Libertad Asuncion 54%, draw 27%, Rubio Nu 19%.
How many goals are expected in Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Libertad Asuncion 1.56 · Rubio Nu 0.84), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Libertad Asuncion vs Rubio Nu?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.