Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Asuncion

Team pages: Sportivo Trinidense · Olimpia Asuncion

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Sportivo Trinidense1.25

Olimpia Asuncion1.54

1X2

29% 28% 42%

Sportivo Trinidense Draw Olimpia Asuncion

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sportivo Trinidense 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLDDLW

Olimpia Asuncion 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWWWD

Head-to-head

Sportivo Trinidense 2–2–2 Olimpia Asuncion (6 last)

Sportivo Trinidense2-1Olimpia Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense0-1Olimpia Asuncion
Olimpia Asuncion3-2Sportivo Trinidense
Olimpia Asuncion1-1Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Trinidense4-3Olimpia Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense1-1Olimpia Asuncion

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Trinidense 1535 · Olimpia Asuncion 1535

	Sportivo Trinidense	Draw	Olimpia Asuncion
Our model	30%	27%	43%
Market	29%	29%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sportivo Trinidense	Olimpia Asuncion
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.8	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	3.1 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.10

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.17
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.17
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.30 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:33 +38’	3.10	3.10	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:12	3.40	3.24	2.16
11:56	3.17▼	3.17▼	2.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Trinidense 2–2–2 Olimpia Asuncion

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	2-1 HT 1-0	Olimpia Asuncion
05/03/26 Copa Sudamericana	Sportivo Trinidense	0-1 HT 0-1	Olimpia Asuncion
01/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Olimpia Asuncion	3-2 HT 1-1	Sportivo Trinidense
20/09/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Olimpia Asuncion	1-1 HT 1-1	Sportivo Trinidense
13/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	4-3 HT 0-2	Olimpia Asuncion
28/04/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	1-1 HT 1-1	Olimpia Asuncion

Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guarani Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sportivo Trinidense	Olimpia Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano	3-0 W	2-1 W
2 de Mayo	0-1 L	0-1 L
Rubio Nu	0-0 D	5-0 W
Nacional Asuncion	1-1 D	0-2 L
Libertad Asuncion	1-2 L	0-1 L
Sportivo Luqueno	4-1 W	2-1 W
Cerro Porteno	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sportivo Trinidense (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Trinidense

WWWWWLDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
29/08	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
21/08	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
15/08	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
10/08	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-2	0	6	L
03/08	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-0	1	1	W
29/07	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	4-1	4	5	W
24/07	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
24/05	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
15/05	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-1	1	1	W

Olimpia Asuncion

WWLLWLWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
29/08	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	2-1	6	5	W
23/08	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	2-1	10	3	W
16/08	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	2-1	8	7	W
08/08	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
02/08	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	5-0	5	2	W
29/07	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-2	11	3	L
26/07	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
23/05	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
15/05	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-2	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Asuncion?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Asuncion win (42%). Probabilities: Sportivo Trinidense 29%, draw 28%, Olimpia Asuncion 42%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Asuncion?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Sportivo Trinidense 1.25 · Olimpia Asuncion 1.54), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia Asuncion?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.