Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 03/09, 23:30

Prediction: Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno

Team pages: Deportivo Recoleta · Cerro Porteno

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Deportivo Recoleta1.4

Cerro Porteno1.26

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Deportivo Recoleta Draw Cerro Porteno

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Recoleta 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWWLLL

Cerro Porteno 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Recoleta 1–5 Cerro Porteno (6 last)

Deportivo Recoleta2-1Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno2-0Deportivo Recoleta
Cerro Porteno2-0Deportivo Recoleta
Deportivo Recoleta1-3Cerro Porteno
Deportivo Recoleta1-3Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno2-1Deportivo Recoleta

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cerro Porteno: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Recoleta	Cerro Porteno
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	1.1 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.40 → 4.40	Pinn 4.40
X	3.57 → 3.57	Pinn 3.57
2	1.77 → 1.77	Pinn 1.77

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:26 +1’	4.40	3.57	1.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Recoleta 1–0–5 Cerro Porteno

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Deportivo Recoleta	2-1 HT 1-1	Cerro Porteno
02/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Cerro Porteno	2-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Recoleta
04/10/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Cerro Porteno	2-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Recoleta
26/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Deportivo Recoleta	1-3 HT 0-3	Cerro Porteno
29/04/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Deportivo Recoleta	1-3 HT 0-1	Cerro Porteno
16/02/25 Paraguay Division Profesional	Cerro Porteno	2-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Recoleta

Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guarani Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Recoleta	Cerro Porteno
Olimpia Asuncion	1-2 L	1-2 L
Sportivo Ameliano	1-3 L	0-1 L
2 de Mayo	1-2 L	1-2 L
Rubio Nu	3-1 W	2-0 W
Sportivo San Lorenzo	1-1 D	1-0 W
Guarani Asuncion	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cerro Porteno (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Recoleta

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	1-2	4	5	L
22/08	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-3	3	5	L
14/08	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	1-2	8	1	L
07/08	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
03/08	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	3-2	0	3	W
30/07	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-4	8	4	L
25/07	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-1	13	7	D
23/05	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	2-1	2-1	1	5	W
15/05	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	2-3	4	2	L
11/05	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-2	2-3	4	5	L

Cerro Porteno

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	1-2	2	3	L
16/08	Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
08/08	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
01/08	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	2-0	3-0	2	4	W
28/07	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
24/07	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
24/05	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/05	Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-3	4	1	L
12/05	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
03/05	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-2	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Recoleta win (39%). Probabilities: Deportivo Recoleta 39%, draw 28%, Cerro Porteno 33%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Deportivo Recoleta 1.4 · Cerro Porteno 1.26), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Recoleta vs Cerro Porteno?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.