Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 02/09, 21:00
Prediction: Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion
Team pages: Nacional Asuncion · Libertad Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Nacional Asuncion1.53
Libertad Asuncion0.92
1X2
Nacional Asuncion
Draw
Libertad Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Nacional Asuncion
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Libertad Asuncion
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nacional Asuncion
3–3
Libertad Asuncion
(6 last)
- Nacional Asuncion2-1Libertad Asuncion
- Libertad Asuncion2-1Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion3-1Libertad Asuncion
- Libertad Asuncion0-1Nacional Asuncion
- Libertad Asuncion1-0Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion0-3Libertad Asuncion
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nacional Asuncion | Libertad Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacional Asuncion 3–0–3 Libertad Asuncion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Libertad Asuncion |
| 19/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 28/09/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Libertad Asuncion |
| 19/07/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 11/04/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Libertad Asuncion | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 30/01/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Libertad Asuncion |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nacional Asuncion | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Guarani Asuncion | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Nacional Asuncion (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nacional Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Libertad Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/05 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacional Asuncion win (50%). Probabilities: Nacional Asuncion 50%, draw 28%, Libertad Asuncion 21%.
How many goals are expected in Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?
The model expects 2.45 goals (Nacional Asuncion 1.53 · Libertad Asuncion 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.