Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 10/10, 22:00

Prediction: Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense

Team pages: Sportivo San Lorenzo · Sportivo Trinidense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Sportivo San Lorenzo0.98

Sportivo Trinidense1.32

1X2

26% 30% 43%

Sportivo San Lorenzo Draw Sportivo Trinidense

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Sportivo Trinidense 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sportivo San Lorenzo 2–1–3 Sportivo Trinidense (6 last)

Sportivo Trinidense3-0Sportivo San Lorenzo
Sportivo Trinidense2-1Sportivo San Lorenzo
Sportivo San Lorenzo1-1Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Trinidense2-0Sportivo San Lorenzo
Sportivo San Lorenzo3-0Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo San Lorenzo5-1Sportivo Trinidense

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Trinidense (rating 1409 vs 1516).
H2H favours Sportivo Trinidense: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sportivo San Lorenzo	Sportivo Trinidense
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.69 → 4.69	Pinn 4.69
X	3.57 → 3.57	Pinn 3.57
2	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +277’	4.69	3.57	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo San Lorenzo 2–1–3 Sportivo Trinidense

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	3-0 HT 1-0	Sportivo San Lorenzo
17/04/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo Trinidense	2-1 HT 1-1	Sportivo San Lorenzo
19/02/26 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sportivo San Lorenzo	1-1 HT 0-0	Sportivo Trinidense
08/10/22 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sportivo Trinidense	2-0 HT 0-0	Sportivo San Lorenzo
05/07/22 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sportivo San Lorenzo	3-0 HT 1-0	Sportivo Trinidense
18/10/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sportivo San Lorenzo	5-1 HT 3-0	Sportivo Trinidense

Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Recoleta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerro Porteno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guarani Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	2 de Mayo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Libertad Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nacional Asuncion	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rubio Nu	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo San Lorenzo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Ameliano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Luqueno	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportivo Trinidense	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sportivo San Lorenzo	Sportivo Trinidense
Guarani Asuncion	1-1 D	0-1 L
Deportivo Recoleta	0-0 D	3-1 W
Olimpia Asuncion	0-3 L	1-2 L
Sportivo Ameliano	0-1 L	3-0 W
2 de Mayo	1-2 L	0-1 L
Rubio Nu	1-3 L	0-0 D
Nacional Asuncion	0-3 L	1-1 D
Libertad Asuncion	0-1 L	1-2 L
Cerro Porteno	0-1 L	2-1 W
Sportivo Luqueno	0-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 8 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sportivo Trinidense (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo San Lorenzo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-1	3	6	D
28/09	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	9	1	D
20/09	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
11/09	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
05/09	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-2	5	7	L
01/09	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-3	5	7	L
28/08	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
24/08	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
16/08	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
09/08	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	0-2	2	2	L

Sportivo Trinidense

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional	2-1	3-2	5	4	W
27/09	Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
18/09	Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
12/09	Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	3-1	5	7	W
06/09	Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
02/09	Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
29/08	2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
21/08	Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
15/08	Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
10/08	Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional	1-1	1-2	0	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Trinidense win (43%). Probabilities: Sportivo San Lorenzo 26%, draw 30%, Sportivo Trinidense 43%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Sportivo San Lorenzo 0.98 · Sportivo Trinidense 1.32), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.