Football · England Southern Premier League South · 30/09, 20:45
Prediction: Gosport Borough vs Bracknell Town
Team pages: Gosport Borough · Bracknell Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Gosport Borough1.8
Bracknell Town1.54
1X2
Gosport Borough
Draw
Bracknell Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Gosport Borough
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Bracknell Town
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gosport Borough
4–2
Bracknell Town
(6 last)
- Bracknell Town0-2Gosport Borough
- Gosport Borough6-1Bracknell Town
- Bracknell Town4-0Gosport Borough
- Gosport Borough4-3Bracknell Town
- Bracknell Town4-3Gosport Borough
- Gosport Borough2-0Bracknell Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gosport Borough 1513 · Bracknell Town 1449
| Gosport Borough | Draw | Bracknell Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 25% | 32% |
| Market | 43% | 25% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gosport Borough (rating 1513 vs 1449).
- H2H favours Gosport Borough: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gosport Borough | Bracknell Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 1 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.7 | 0 / 1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gosport Borough 4–0–2 Bracknell Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 England Southern Premier League South | Bracknell Town | 0-2 | Gosport Borough |
| 22/10/25 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Bracknell Town |
| 22/03/25 England Southern Premier League South | Bracknell Town | 4-0 | Gosport Borough |
| 08/01/25 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 4-3 HT 2-2 | Bracknell Town |
| 20/01/24 England Southern Premier League South | Bracknell Town | 4-3 HT 1-0 | Gosport Borough |
| 05/08/23 England Southern Premier League South | Gosport Borough | 2-0 | Bracknell Town |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Chertsey Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 14 |
| 5 | Bath City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 9 | Taunton Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 12 |
| 10 | Poole Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | Yate Town | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Evesham United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 14 | Bracknell Town | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 15 | Wimborne Town | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 16 | Basingstoke | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 17 | Sholing | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 19 | Hanwell Town | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 20 | Gloucester | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 6 |
| 21 | Malvern Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 5 |
| 22 | Havant and W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gosport Borough | Bracknell Town |
|---|---|---|
| Basingstoke | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Taunton Town | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Sholing | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Malvern Town | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Yate Town | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Plymouth Parkway | 3-6 L | 0-7 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Gosport Borough (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gosport Borough
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/08 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-6 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Tiverton Town England Southern Premier League South |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
Bracknell Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/08 | Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Yate Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Gloucester England Southern Premier League South |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gosport Borough vs Bracknell Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gosport Borough win (43%). Probabilities: Gosport Borough 43%, draw 25%, Bracknell Town 32%.
How many goals are expected in Gosport Borough vs Bracknell Town?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Gosport Borough 1.8 · Bracknell Town 1.54), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Gosport Borough vs Bracknell Town?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.