Football · England Southern Premier League South · 10/10, 16:00
Prediction: Yate Town vs Berkhamsted
Team pages: Yate Town · Berkhamsted
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Yate Town1.25
Berkhamsted1.33
1X2
Yate Town
Draw
Berkhamsted
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Yate Town
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Berkhamsted
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yate Town
0–2–0
Berkhamsted
(2 last)
- Berkhamsted1-1Yate Town
- Yate Town0-0Berkhamsted
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yate Town 1515 · Berkhamsted 1542
| Yate Town | Draw | Berkhamsted | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yate Town | Berkhamsted | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | – / – | 0 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | //% | 0/67/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | 0.7 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yate Town 0–2–0 Berkhamsted
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 England Southern Premier League South | Berkhamsted | 1-1 | Yate Town |
| 11/10/25 England Southern Premier League South | Yate Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Berkhamsted |
Standings · England Southern Premier League South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 10 | Evesham United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 13 |
| 11 | Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| 12 | Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 14 | Yate Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Bracknell Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 16 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant and W | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yate Town | Berkhamsted |
|---|---|---|
| Hanworth Villa | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Taunton Town | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Poole Town | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Chertsey Town | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Chippenham Town | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Havant and W | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yate Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Frome Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 29/09 | Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 31/08 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Berkhamsted
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Sholing England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/09 | Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Evesham United England Southern Premier League South |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/08 | Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Poole Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/08 | Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Havant and W England Southern Premier League South |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yate Town vs Berkhamsted?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Berkhamsted win (38%). Probabilities: Yate Town 34%, draw 27%, Berkhamsted 38%.
How many goals are expected in Yate Town vs Berkhamsted?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Yate Town 1.25 · Berkhamsted 1.33), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Yate Town vs Berkhamsted?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.