Football · England Southern Premier League South · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Taunton Town vs Hanwell Town

Team pages: Taunton Town · Hanwell Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Taunton Town1.83

Hanwell Town1.63

1X2

42% 25% 33%

Taunton Town Draw Hanwell Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Taunton Town 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWLWWLLD

Hanwell Town 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLLLDD

Head-to-head

Taunton Town 2–2–0 Hanwell Town (4 last)

Taunton Town2-2Hanwell Town
Hanwell Town0-4Taunton Town
Hanwell Town0-2Taunton Town
Taunton Town3-3Hanwell Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taunton Town 1521 · Hanwell Town 1462

	Taunton Town	Draw	Hanwell Town
Our model	42%	24%	34%
Market	42%	25%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taunton Town (rating 1521 vs 1462).
H2H favours Taunton Town: 2-2-0.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taunton Town	Hanwell Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.2	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	50/0/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.7	4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	4.5 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.60

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:23 +1’	2.15	3.60	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Taunton Town 2–2–0 Hanwell Town

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	2-2	Hanwell Town
01/11/25 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	0-4	Taunton Town
19/04/25 England Southern Premier League South	Hanwell Town	0-2 HT 0-1	Taunton Town
07/09/24 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	3-3	Hanwell Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plymouth Parkway	9	6	2	1	23	8	20
2	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	19	8	20
3	Hanworth Villa	9	6	1	2	17	8	19
4	Poole Town	9	6	0	3	14	11	18
5	Bath City	9	5	2	2	13	8	17
6	Frome Town	10	4	3	3	17	13	15
7	Chertsey Town	9	4	2	3	20	15	14
8	Taunton Town	9	4	1	4	23	22	13
9	Chichester City	9	4	1	4	14	16	13
10	Evesham United	9	4	1	4	14	17	13
11	Berkhamsted	10	4	1	5	11	14	13
12	Wimborne Town	8	3	3	2	10	4	12
13	Gosport Borough	9	3	3	3	12	10	12
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13	18	12
15	Bracknell Town	9	3	2	4	11	18	11
16	Sholing	8	3	1	4	9	12	10
17	Basingstoke	9	2	3	4	14	16	9
18	Hanwell Town	8	1	4	3	7	10	7
19	Gloucester	9	1	4	4	12	17	7
20	Chippenham Town	8	2	1	5	7	16	7
21	Havant and W	9	1	2	6	9	16	5
22	Malvern Town	9	1	2	6	13	25	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Taunton Town	Hanwell Town
Frome Town	2-2 D	2-2 D
Basingstoke	4-3 W	2-1 W
Berkhamsted	2-1 W	0-1 L
Malvern Town	5-2 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Taunton Town (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taunton Town

DLWWLWWLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
22/09	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	4-3	–	–	W
22/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	4-5	–	–	L
15/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	5-2	8	1	W
08/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
25/04	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D

Hanwell Town

LWDWDLLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	1-0	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
22/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
25/04	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
18/04	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taunton Town vs Hanwell Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Taunton Town win (42%). Probabilities: Taunton Town 42%, draw 25%, Hanwell Town 33%.

How many goals are expected in Taunton Town vs Hanwell Town?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Taunton Town 1.83 · Hanwell Town 1.63), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Taunton Town vs Hanwell Town?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.