Football · England Southern Premier League South · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Wimborne Town vs Havant and W

Team pages: Wimborne Town · Havant and W

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Wimborne Town1.57

Havant and W1.17

1X2

46% 26% 28%

Wimborne Town Draw Havant and W

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wimborne Town 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLLDWDDWW

Havant and W 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDLLLD

Head-to-head

Wimborne Town 1–3 Havant and W (4 last)

Havant and W4-0Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town3-1Havant and W
Havant and W2-0Wimborne Town
Wimborne Town1-2Havant and W

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wimborne Town 1548 · Havant and W 1409

	Wimborne Town	Draw	Havant and W
Our model	45%	27%	27%
Market	47%	25%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wimborne Town (rating 1548 vs 1409).
H2H favours Havant and W: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wimborne Town	Havant and W
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	0 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3	2.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.60

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:10 +14’	1.91	3.60	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wimborne Town 1–0–3 Havant and W

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 England Southern Premier League South	Havant and W	4-0	Wimborne Town
12/08/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	3-1 HT 1-0	Havant and W
26/04/25 England Southern Premier League South	Havant and W	2-0	Wimborne Town
11/02/25 England Southern Premier League South	Wimborne Town	1-2	Havant and W

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	10	7	0	3	17	12	21
2	Plymouth Parkway	9	6	2	1	23	8	20
3	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	19	8	20
4	Hanworth Villa	9	6	1	2	17	8	19
5	Bath City	9	5	2	2	13	8	17
6	Frome Town	10	4	3	3	17	13	15
7	Chertsey Town	9	4	2	3	20	15	14
8	Taunton Town	9	4	1	4	23	22	13
9	Chichester City	9	4	1	4	14	16	13
10	Evesham United	9	4	1	4	14	17	13
11	Berkhamsted	10	4	1	5	11	14	13
12	Wimborne Town	8	3	3	2	10	4	12
13	Gosport Borough	10	3	3	4	13	13	12
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13	18	12
15	Bracknell Town	9	3	2	4	11	18	11
16	Sholing	8	3	1	4	9	12	10
17	Basingstoke	9	2	3	4	14	16	9
18	Hanwell Town	8	1	4	3	7	10	7
19	Gloucester	9	1	4	4	12	17	7
20	Chippenham Town	8	2	1	5	7	16	7
21	Havant and W	9	1	2	6	9	16	5
22	Malvern Town	9	1	2	6	13	25	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wimborne Town	Havant and W
Yate Town	4-0 W	1-3 L
Bracknell Town	2-0 W	1-2 L
Uxbridge	0-0 D	0-2 L
Gloucester	1-1 D	3-3 D
Chichester City	0-1 L	2-3 L
Frome Town	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Wimborne Town (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wimborne Town

DDLLDWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
12/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
29/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-0	–	–	W
15/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
18/04	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D

Havant and W

LLLWLDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
19/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
31/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
22/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
11/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/04	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wimborne Town vs Havant and W?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wimborne Town win (46%). Probabilities: Wimborne Town 46%, draw 26%, Havant and W 28%.

How many goals are expected in Wimborne Town vs Havant and W?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Wimborne Town 1.57 · Havant and W 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wimborne Town vs Havant and W?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.