Football · England Southern Premier League South · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Frome Town vs Sholing

Team pages: Frome Town · Sholing

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

Frome Town1.66

Sholing1.18

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Frome Town Draw Sholing

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Frome Town 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWDLDD

Sholing 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWDLLWLW

Head-to-head

Frome Town 0–1–1 Sholing (2 last)

Frome Town0-3Sholing
Sholing1-1Frome Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Frome Town 1518 · Sholing 1546

	Frome Town	Draw	Sholing
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Frome Town	Sholing
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.5	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	100/0/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 5.5	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	7.5 / 1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:23 +2’	1.83	3.60	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Frome Town 0–1–1 Sholing

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/25 England Southern Premier League South	Frome Town	0-3 HT 0-1	Sholing
02/11/24 England Southern Premier League South	Sholing	1-1	Frome Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plymouth Parkway	9	6	2	1	23	8	20
2	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	19	8	20
3	Hanworth Villa	9	6	1	2	17	8	19
4	Poole Town	9	6	0	3	14	11	18
5	Bath City	9	5	2	2	13	8	17
6	Frome Town	10	4	3	3	17	13	15
7	Chertsey Town	9	4	2	3	20	15	14
8	Taunton Town	9	4	1	4	23	22	13
9	Chichester City	9	4	1	4	14	16	13
10	Evesham United	9	4	1	4	14	17	13
11	Berkhamsted	10	4	1	5	11	14	13
12	Wimborne Town	8	3	3	2	10	4	12
13	Gosport Borough	9	3	3	3	12	10	12
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13	18	12
15	Bracknell Town	9	3	2	4	11	18	11
16	Sholing	8	3	1	4	9	12	10
17	Basingstoke	9	2	3	4	14	16	9
18	Hanwell Town	8	1	4	3	7	10	7
19	Gloucester	9	1	4	4	12	17	7
20	Chippenham Town	8	2	1	5	7	16	7
21	Havant and W	9	1	2	6	9	16	5
22	Malvern Town	9	1	2	6	13	25	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Frome Town	Sholing
Plymouth Parkway	0-2 L	1-3 L
Hanwell Town	2-2 D	0-0 D
Bath City	1-0 W	1-2 L
Chertsey Town	2-1 W	2-4 L
Gosport Borough	1-2 L	1-0 W
Wimborne Town	2-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Frome Town (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Frome Town

WWLLWWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
30/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
22/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
31/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	1-0	2-1	4	13	W
22/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
11/08	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
08/08	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W

Sholing

DWLWDLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
12/09	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
29/08	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
22/08	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
25/04	Dorchester England Southern Premier League South	–	4-0	–	–	W
18/04	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Frome Town vs Sholing?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Frome Town win (48%). Probabilities: Frome Town 48%, draw 26%, Sholing 26%.

How many goals are expected in Frome Town vs Sholing?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Frome Town 1.66 · Sholing 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Frome Town vs Sholing?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.