Football · England Southern Premier League South · 10/10, 16:00

Prediction: Poole Town vs Bracknell Town

Team pages: Poole Town · Bracknell Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Poole Town1.83

Bracknell Town1.1

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Poole Town Draw Bracknell Town

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Poole Town 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWWWW

Bracknell Town 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLLWD

Head-to-head

Poole Town 1–5–0 Bracknell Town (6 last)

Poole Town0-0Bracknell Town
Bracknell Town3-4Poole Town
Poole Town0-0Bracknell Town
Bracknell Town0-0Poole Town
Bracknell Town1-1Poole Town
Bracknell Town2-2Poole Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Poole Town 1561 · Bracknell Town 1480

	Poole Town	Draw	Bracknell Town
Our model	53%	25%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Poole Town (rating 1561 vs 1480).
High corners: 13 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Poole Town	Bracknell Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/67/0%	0/100/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4	2 / 9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:28 +8’	1.65	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Poole Town 1–5–0 Bracknell Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England Southern Premier League South	Poole Town	0-0	Bracknell Town
16/08/25 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	3-4 HT 0-1	Poole Town
04/01/25 England Southern Premier League South	Poole Town	0-0	Bracknell Town
10/08/24 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	0-0	Poole Town
16/12/23 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	1-1	Poole Town
07/11/23 England FA Trophy	Bracknell Town	2-2 HT 0-1	Poole Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	10	7	0	3	17	12	21
2	Plymouth Parkway	9	6	2	1	23	8	20
3	Uxbridge	9	6	2	1	19	8	20
4	Hanworth Villa	9	6	1	2	17	8	19
5	Bath City	9	5	2	2	13	8	17
6	Frome Town	10	4	3	3	17	13	15
7	Chertsey Town	9	4	2	3	20	15	14
8	Taunton Town	9	4	1	4	23	22	13
9	Chichester City	9	4	1	4	14	16	13
10	Evesham United	9	4	1	4	14	17	13
11	Berkhamsted	10	4	1	5	11	14	13
12	Wimborne Town	8	3	3	2	10	4	12
13	Gosport Borough	10	3	3	4	13	13	12
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13	18	12
15	Bracknell Town	9	3	2	4	11	18	11
16	Sholing	8	3	1	4	9	12	10
17	Basingstoke	9	2	3	4	14	16	9
18	Hanwell Town	8	1	4	3	7	10	7
19	Gloucester	9	1	4	4	12	17	7
20	Chippenham Town	8	2	1	5	7	16	7
21	Havant and W	9	1	2	6	9	16	5
22	Malvern Town	9	1	2	6	13	25	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Poole Town	Bracknell Town
Gosport Borough	3-1 W	1-1 D
Havant and W	1-0 W	2-1 W
Plymouth Parkway	0-2 L	0-7 L
Yate Town	2-1 W	1-2 L
Basingstoke	0-2 L	1-2 L
Sholing	0-1 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Poole Town (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Poole Town

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
03/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
29/09	Chertsey Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
31/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
15/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
11/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-1	3	3	W

Bracknell Town

DLWDLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
19/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
31/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	3-2	–	–	W
08/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	0-7	–	–	L
25/04	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Poole Town vs Bracknell Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Poole Town win (54%). Probabilities: Poole Town 54%, draw 24%, Bracknell Town 22%.

How many goals are expected in Poole Town vs Bracknell Town?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Poole Town 1.83 · Bracknell Town 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Poole Town vs Bracknell Town?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.