Prediction: Evesham United vs Bath City

Team pages: Evesham United · Bath City

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Evesham United1.21
Bath City1.54
1X2
29% 26% 44%
Evesham United Draw Bath City
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Evesham United 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLLWDWLL
Bath City 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDWDLLWWWL
Head-to-head
Evesham United 0–1–0 Bath City (1 last)
  • Evesham United1-1Bath City
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Evesham United 1501 · Bath City 1531
Evesham UnitedDrawBath City
Our model29%28%44%
Market30%25%45%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Evesham UnitedBath City
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.81.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0– / –
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%//%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 2– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.5 / 0– / –

Head-to-head (H2H) · Evesham United 0–1–0 Bath City

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/07/22
Club Friendly List
Evesham United1-1
HT 0-0
Bath City

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Poole Town 11803 181224
2 Uxbridge 10721 20823
3 Plymouth Parkway 10622 241120
4 Hanworth Villa 10613 181119
5 Bath City 10523 141017
6 Frome Town 11443 181416
7 Chichester City 10514 171716
8 Berkhamsted 11515 141416
9 Wimborne Town 9432 16715
10 Chertsey Town 10433 221715
11 Gosport Borough 11434 151415
12 Taunton Town 10415 242413
13 Evesham United 10415 141813
14 Basingstoke 10334 181712
15 Yate Town 10334 132112
16 Sholing 9324 101311
17 Bracknell Town 10325 111911
18 Hanwell Town 9243 91110
19 Gloucester 10244 151810
20 Chippenham Town 9225 9188
21 Havant and W 10127 12225
22 Malvern Town 10127 14295

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEvesham UnitedBath City
Uxbridge 0-1 L 1-2 L
Chippenham Town 2-0 W 2-0 W
Plymouth Parkway 1-3 L 1-1 D
Hanworth Villa 1-4 L 1-0 W
Frome Town 0-4 L 0-1 L
Basingstoke 4-2 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 4 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bath City (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Evesham United

WLWLLWDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Uxbridge
England Southern Premier League South
0-0 0-1 22 L
03/10 Poole Town
England Southern Premier League South
– 1-3 –– L
29/09 Chippenham Town
England Southern Premier League South
1-0 2-0 21 W
12/09 Berkhamsted
England Southern Premier League South
– 0-0 –– D
31/08 Gloucester
England Southern Premier League South
– 2-1 –– W
29/08 Plymouth Parkway
England Southern Premier League South
– 1-3 –– L
22/08 Hanworth Villa
England Southern Premier League South
– 1-4 –– L
15/08 Chichester City
England Southern Premier League South
– 3-0 –– W
11/08 Frome Town
England Southern Premier League South
– 0-4 –– L
08/08 Basingstoke
England Southern Premier League South
– 4-2 –– W

Bath City

WDWDLLWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Gosport Borough
England Southern Premier League South
– 1-2 –– L
29/09 Malvern Town
England Southern Premier League South
– 2-1 –– W
22/09 Taunton Town
England Southern Premier League South
– 3-1 –– W
12/09 Chippenham Town
England Southern Premier League South
– 2-0 –– W
31/08 Frome Town
England Southern Premier League South
– 0-1 –– L
29/08 Uxbridge
England Southern Premier League South
– 1-2 –– L
22/08 Basingstoke
England Southern Premier League South
– 1-1 –– D
15/08 Hanworth Villa
England Southern Premier League South
– 1-0 –– W
11/08 Plymouth Parkway
England Southern Premier League South
– 1-1 –– D
08/08 Sholing
England Southern Premier League South
– 2-1 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Evesham United vs Bath City?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bath City win (44%). Probabilities: Evesham United 29%, draw 26%, Bath City 44%.

How many goals are expected in Evesham United vs Bath City?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Evesham United 1.21 · Bath City 1.54), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Evesham United vs Bath City?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.