Football · England Southern Premier League South · 20/10, 20:45

Prediction: Taunton Town vs Bracknell Town

Team pages: Taunton Town · Bracknell Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Taunton Town2.05

Bracknell Town1.39

1X2

52% 23% 25%

Taunton Town Draw Bracknell Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Taunton Town 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLDLW

Bracknell Town 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWDLLW

Head-to-head

Taunton Town 2–1–0 Bracknell Town (3 last)

Taunton Town2-0Bracknell Town
Bracknell Town0-2Taunton Town
Taunton Town1-1Bracknell Town

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Taunton Town 1524 · Bracknell Town 1473

	Taunton Town	Draw	Bracknell Town
Our model	52%	23%	25%
Market	52%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taunton Town (rating 1524 vs 1473).
H2H favours Taunton Town: 2-1-0.
High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Taunton Town	Bracknell Town
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 2.3	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.5	0 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.5	1 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.90

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:19 +20’	1.73	3.90	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Taunton Town 2–1–0 Bracknell Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	2-0	Bracknell Town
08/02/25 England Southern Premier League South	Bracknell Town	0-2	Taunton Town
02/11/24 England Southern Premier League South	Taunton Town	1-1	Bracknell Town

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26	12	23
3	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
4	Hanworth Villa	12	7	2	3	24	14	23
5	Bath City	12	7	2	3	18	10	23
6	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
7	Chichester City	12	6	1	5	20	20	19
8	Gosport Borough	12	5	3	4	19	14	18
9	Chertsey Town	11	4	4	3	23	18	16
10	Taunton Town	11	5	1	5	28	25	16
11	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
12	Wimborne Town	10	4	3	3	17	9	15
13	Bracknell Town	12	4	2	6	13	23	14
14	Evesham United	12	4	1	7	15	24	13
15	Basingstoke	12	3	3	6	19	25	12
16	Yate Town	11	3	3	5	15	24	12
17	Sholing	10	3	2	5	12	16	11
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	12	3	2	7	19	31	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	12	2	3	7	18	25	9
22	Chippenham Town	11	2	2	7	10	24	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Taunton Town	Bracknell Town
Gosport Borough	1-3 L	1-1 D
Yate Town	4-1 W	1-2 L
Basingstoke	4-3 W	1-2 L
Malvern Town	5-2 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Taunton Town (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Taunton Town

WWLWWLLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
10/10	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/09	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
22/09	Bath City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-3	–	–	L
31/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	4-1	–	–	W
29/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	4-3	–	–	W
22/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	4-5	–	–	L
15/08	Berkhamsted England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	1-1	5-2	8	1	W

Bracknell Town

DLWLLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W
13/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-4	5	8	L
10/10	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/09	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
19/09	Havant and W England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-2	–	–	L
31/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Sholing England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/08	Yate Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Taunton Town vs Bracknell Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Taunton Town win (52%). Probabilities: Taunton Town 52%, draw 23%, Bracknell Town 25%.

How many goals are expected in Taunton Town vs Bracknell Town?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Taunton Town 2.05 · Bracknell Town 1.39), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Taunton Town vs Bracknell Town?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.