Football · England Southern Premier League South · 20/10, 20:45

Prediction: Bath City vs Havant and W

Team pages: Bath City · Havant and W

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Bath City2.01

Havant and W1.12

1X2

57% 23% 20%

Bath City Draw Havant and W

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Bath City 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWWLWW

Havant and W 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLDLWD

Head-to-head

Bath City 3–3–0 Havant and W (6 last)

Havant and W1-1Bath City
Bath City2-0Havant and W
Bath City2-0Havant and W
Havant and W2-2Bath City
Bath City0-0Havant and W
Havant and W1-3Bath City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bath City 1561 · Havant and W 1433

	Bath City	Draw	Havant and W
Our model	57%	23%	20%
Market	57%	23%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bath City (rating 1561 vs 1433).
H2H favours Bath City: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bath City	Havant and W
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	1.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.90

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:00 +38’	1.57	3.90	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bath City 3–3–0 Havant and W

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/02/24 England National League South	Havant and W	1-1 HT 1-0	Bath City
02/09/23 England National League South	Bath City	2-0 HT 1-0	Havant and W
21/02/23 England National League South	Bath City	2-0 HT 0-0	Havant and W
26/10/22 England National League South	Havant and W	2-2 HT 0-1	Bath City
15/04/22 England National League South	Bath City	0-0 HT 0-0	Havant and W
04/12/21 England National League South	Havant and W	1-3 HT 1-2	Bath City

Standings · England Southern Premier League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Poole Town	12	9	0	3	22	13	27
2	Plymouth Parkway	11	7	2	2	26	12	23
3	Uxbridge	10	7	2	1	20	8	23
4	Hanworth Villa	12	7	2	3	24	14	23
5	Bath City	12	7	2	3	18	10	23
6	Frome Town	13	5	4	4	20	16	19
7	Chichester City	12	6	1	5	20	20	19
8	Gosport Borough	12	5	3	4	19	14	18
9	Chertsey Town	11	4	4	3	23	18	16
10	Taunton Town	11	5	1	5	28	25	16
11	Berkhamsted	11	5	1	5	14	14	16
12	Wimborne Town	10	4	3	3	17	9	15
13	Bracknell Town	12	4	2	6	13	23	14
14	Evesham United	12	4	1	7	15	24	13
15	Basingstoke	12	3	3	6	19	25	12
16	Yate Town	11	3	3	5	15	24	12
17	Sholing	10	3	2	5	12	16	11
18	Hanwell Town	11	2	5	4	10	14	11
19	Malvern Town	12	3	2	7	19	31	11
20	Gloucester	10	2	4	4	15	18	10
21	Havant and W	12	2	3	7	18	25	9
22	Chippenham Town	11	2	2	7	10	24	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bath City	Havant and W
Hanwell Town	2-0 W	1-1 D
Frome Town	0-1 L	1-0 W
Basingstoke	1-1 D	4-1 W
Hanworth Villa	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bath City

WDLLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
13/10	Evesham United England Southern Premier League South	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
10/10	Gosport Borough England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/09	Malvern Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/09	Taunton Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/09	Chippenham Town England Southern Premier League South	–	2-0	–	–	W
31/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Uxbridge England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/08	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	–	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W

Havant and W

WLDLLLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Hanworth Villa England Southern Premier League South	–	2-2	–	–	D
13/10	Basingstoke England Southern Premier League South	2-0	4-1	2	3	W
10/10	Wimborne Town England Southern Premier League South	–	3-6	–	–	L
29/09	Hanwell Town England Southern Premier League South	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
19/09	Bracknell Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Poole Town England Southern Premier League South	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
31/08	Chichester City England Southern Premier League South	–	2-3	–	–	L
29/08	Gloucester England Southern Premier League South	–	3-3	–	–	D
22/08	Plymouth Parkway England Southern Premier League South	–	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Frome Town England Southern Premier League South	–	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bath City vs Havant and W?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bath City win (57%). Probabilities: Bath City 57%, draw 23%, Havant and W 20%.

How many goals are expected in Bath City vs Havant and W?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Bath City 2.01 · Havant and W 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bath City vs Havant and W?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.